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Rangers Analysis: Breaking Down the Schedule


            Every game counts. If you ask me, part of the reason that allowed the Rangers to make the playoffs last season was the fact that they started the season by going 10-4-1 in their first fifteen games. 21 points in 15 games? That works out to be 1.4 points per game, and as I showed you previously that could be good enough to win the division, hands down. A start like that again would be amazing, but I'm not so sure after looking at the schedule.

            With every team in the NHL having an "even" schedule, it's tough to say any one team has a blatantly easier schedule than another. With the exception of the difficulty of certain divisions, every team plays four games against each in-conference, out-of-division; along with one game against each team of the opposite conference. That leaves six games against teams from inside the division, which ultimately means that doing well inside your division will absolutely help your playoff position; but at the same time every game counts because of the in-conference games.

            With that said, let's go month by month with the Rangers schedule and break down the highs, the lows, and the overall outlook. For a link to the Rangers schedule (as there is no easy way to copy/paste it in cleanly), click here.

Star-divide

October

Games: 14

Home Games: 7

Games against Playoff teams (from last season, obviously): 7

Multiple Opponents: Devils (home then away)

All-but-Guaranteed Win: v. Coyotes, 10/26

This Game Worries Me: v. Sharks, 10/19

The Outlook: In general, the month of October will get easier as the days go by for the Rangers. With the Pens, Devils, and Caps all on slate within the first week, the Rangers will no doubt be tested early. The end of the month, however, could be a nice three-game win-streak in the making starting with the Coyotes at home followed by the Fishsticks and Wild.

November

Games: 13

Home Games: 6

Games against Playoff teams: 7

Multiple Opponents: Penguins (away then home), Panthers (home then away)

All-but-Guaranteed Win: v. Thrashers, 11/12

This Game Worries Me: at Vancouver, 11/3

The Outlook: If the Rangers can survive the beginning and end of November, then all should be golden. In the middle of the month the Rangers play five out of seven games against Southeast Division opponents, which only includes the Caps once. The Rangers swing to Northwest Canada early in the month, and then wrap the month up with a fun home and home against the Pens.

December

Games: 13

Home Games: 7

Games against Playoff teams: 6

Multiple Opponents: Hurricanes (both away), Flyers (away then home), Sabres (away then home), Islanders (home, away, then home)

All-but-Guaranteed Win: v. Sabres, 12/12

This Game Worries Me: at Chicago 12/9

The Outlook: December will be a key month for the Rangers to pick up precious points going into January (you'll see why). With the exception of the Wings, Blackhawks, and Flyers, the Rangers will play games that in all honesty they should win. After the Hawks on December 9th, the Rangers (in my book) are expected to get points in the standings out of every game, including the Flyers.

January

Games: 16

Home Games: 9

Games against playoff teams: 10

Multiple Opponents: Bruins (home then away), Hurricanes (both home), Canadiens (home then away)

All-but-Guaranteed Win: v. Lightning, 1/19

This Game Worries Me: at Bruins, 1/9 (1 PM)

The Outlook: As I run down the list for the first month of the new year I see only four to five games in which I feel the Rangers should absolutely win. In my opinion, anything over 8 wins would be fantastic for the club, and that should be obtainable if they are playing generally well. The Blueshirts go west to finish out the month with visits to the Coyotes and Avalanche, which should hopefully end the month on a high note.

February

Games: 6

Home Games: 4

Games against Playoff teams: 3

Multiple Opponents: none

All-but-Guaranteed Win: v. Lightning, 2/14

This Game Worries Me: at Kings, 2/2

The Outlook: The Rangers could head into the Olympic Break hot if things fall their way. Out of the six games, I feel the Rangers should beat the Predators, Lightning, and one of our division rivals (Pens or Devils). The Kings game worries me because in general the Rangers were not good on the road last season; not to mention the great young talent of the Kings playing well at home.

March

Games: 14

Home Games: 6

Games against Playoff teams: 8

Multiple Opponents: Devils (both away), Islanders (home then away)

All-but-Guaranteed Win: at Thrashers, 3/12

This Game Worries Me: at Senators, 3/2

The Outlook: March gets the number 2 spot in terms of difficulty by month for this year's schedule. With quality opponents and many road games, the Rangers would do themselves well to pull off seven or eight wins depending on their play. The Senators worry me as I think they will squeak into playoffs this year, so they will be fighting for their life.

April

Games: 6

Home Games: 2

Games against Playoff teams: 2

Multiple Opponents: Flyers (home then away)

All-but-Guaranteed Win: at Lightning, 4/2

This Game Worries Me: v. Maple Leafs, 4/7

The Outlook: Good news; the Rangers have a pretty easy end to the season. Bad news; it's basically all away from Manhattan. The three game road-trip to start April will be a key opportunity to pick up points and solidify (hopefully) a playoff position. The Leafs game worries me as I think the Leafs will be eliminated around this point, so they could play the spoilers role. I think the Rangers will win their final home game against the Flyers, but will drop the season finale on Sunday.

            Like I said, no team in the NHL has a blatantly easier schedule than another. The Rangers have a very balanced schedule for the first three months, and then go into a roller coaster ride that should be a tough January and March but an easier February and April. The big road trip comes at the end of March into April (six games), which could be good because the opponents aren't the best; but bad because the Rangers could be fighting for a spot in the East once again.

            Are you as worried about January and March as I am? What stretch of the season do you find most concerning or encouraging? Think scheduling doesn't mean a thing? Let's hear it.

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Month by Month

Oct: 8-5-1
Nov: 7-6-1
Dec: 7-5-1
Jan: 8-6-2
Feb: 3-1-2
Mar: 8-4-2
Apr:4-2-0

45-29-8 98 pts. 5th place.

After Mediocre start, team comes together and roars home in March & April.

Biggest worry is what the olympics do to the team in terms of Hank and the disruption of a season where a team is trying to build chemistry.

by 2mn8tr on Oct 1, 2009 8:35 AM EDT reply actions  

It will be interesting to go back at the end of the season and see how many of Rob’s “All but guaranteed” wins the Rangers actually win. Lord knows the boys in Blue don’t do anything the easy way.

Blueshirt Banter: Covering the New York Rangers

Big Blue View: Unofficial New York Giants blog

by Jim Schmiedeberg on Oct 1, 2009 9:05 AM EDT reply actions  

All-but-Guaranteed Win: v. Coyotes, 10/26

Always predicted to beat the Coyotes, and we always lose. Seems like always.

"Malik now." "6 foot 6, 238, not a noted goal scorer but he's gonna give it a shot here." "Malik has not scored this year. In on Kolzig, faked it....SCORES"

by Calm Down on Oct 1, 2009 9:31 AM EDT up reply actions  

Ha Ha

I bet I go at least .500

by Rob L on Oct 1, 2009 10:56 AM EDT up reply actions  

I don’t think the schedule matters. They have to give a solid effort every night no matter who they play. I think these are a few keys to the season:

1. Gaborik’s health

2. How quick will the new players gel under Tortorella?

3. How much will Blair Betts & Freddie Sjostrom be missed on the Penalty Kill?

4. Will the young defensemen play well enough to take some pressure off of Lundqvist?

ANSWERS

1. I do think Gaborik will stay healthy and have a very good season. The Rangers will become a more cohesive scoring unit as the season goes on.

2. I’m expecting a very good season because of the effort these guys will play with night in and night out for Coach Tortorella.

3. I don’t think the Penalty Kill will be as strong as last year. Hopefully, it will still be solid.

4. I think some guys will play good and some may struggle. Can they shut down players like Ovechkin, Semin, Crosby & Malkin in a playoff series? It remains to be seen, but if the defensemen can take pressure off of Lundqvist, the Rangers may advance to the conference finals.

by Rangers1926 on Oct 1, 2009 9:09 AM EDT reply actions  

Fair enough...

I’ll settle for the other, I’m a team player.

Not one losing month??? WOW we are an optimistic bunch. I like the predictions but am going to continue to keep my expectations much lower in hopes of being pleasantly surprised this season. I’m tired of having my expectations smashed like Bett’s orbital bone.

Can’t wait til Friday night, youth hockey game 5:20-6:30 then NYR hockey and beers.

by NYdemo on Oct 1, 2009 9:40 AM EDT up reply actions  

c-blocker

Blueshirt Banter: Covering the New York Rangers

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by Jim Schmiedeberg on Oct 1, 2009 11:02 AM EDT up reply actions  

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