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Mistake Free Hockey Is The Key

Hey fellow Ranger fans. I wrote this for the Bleacher Report just now (I was asked to). I summarized the title above and explained why five weaknesses between the Caps and the Rangers could make just as much as diffence in the series as the two teams strength's. The article can be found here.

Hockey is a game of mistakes, and although every hockey fan loves the great offensive goal, a lot of things have to go right before the puck is in the back of the net. Keeping with the cliche route, the best offense is a good defense; which is exactly what the high-flying Washington Capitals have going for them (and the main reason they are the number two seed). Meanwhile, the New York Rangers will be counting on their Vezina-caliber pictured-above goaltender and the sixth-best team defense in the league to lead them past Ovechkin and company.

But you have probobably by now already heard of all the strengths of each team, and some of the weaknesses at that. If the four regular season matchups showed us anything, it is that both teams will play at an up-tempo pace which is condusive to mistakes turning into goals anywhere on the ice. So, although I think we will see some great offensive sparks (Not from any blue-colored shirts, most likely), I think the team that wins this series will be the team that makes the least mistakes.

Without further adieu, the five Weaknesses to Watch between the Capitals and the Rangers:

The New York Rangers 29th ranked Power Play vs. the Washington Capitals 17th ranked Penalty Kill:

As a Rangers fan, it has gotten to the point where I don't even expect a solid goal-scoring chance to come from a Power Play chance. When (more like if) the Rangers score on the Power Play, it truly is a gift. It really shouldn't happen against a half-decent Penalty Kill unit. This is a Weakness to Watch because if the Blueshirts magically cash in on the Power Play a couple of times, the Capitals might find themselves in a hole.

 

Jose Theodore as a strength:

Jose Theodore can be good. He has shown that he can do it at points in his career. But, I have only seen Jose Theodore play at a championship-caliber level a handful of times, and I'm not sure that he can win the Caps the cup. He can get by the Rangers though, who have a great knack of making average to above-average goalies looking like champions. New York as a team is sixth in the league in total shots, but dead last in the league in the percentage of shots that go in at 7.5 (the nearest is the Minnesota Wild at 8.1% - quite a gap).

 

Henrik Lundqvist as a weakness:

Everyone knows Lundqvist can and maybe will steal a game from the Capitals. And although he will basically keep New York in the series and in every game at one point or another, I am personally worried about Henrik being able to shoulder the complete load. Hank had a career year in Wins, Minutes Played, and Saves; but at the same time slipped in overall Goals Against, Goals Against Average, and Shutouts. He has looked great as always many times over the season, but at the same time has looked shaky more times than I can remember in his career. One thing I can tell you is this: if he can see the shot, he will make the save 99% of the time. Watch for bounces to go in against The King.

 

Easy Does It, Boys:

The four regular season games were full of fast-paced and physical hockey. From Alexander Semin playing the bongos on Marc Staal's head to Colton Orr giving Ovechkin shots for laying out some Rangers; this series should be very physical at times. And sticking to the theme of the offensive and defensive battles, Penalties should be a big factor in this series. The last two games in the regular season yielded 25 penalties (14 for WAS, 11 for NYR), and you usually cannot win a hockey game from the penalty box.

 

Party Crashers:

Everyone tries to dub their Wildcards or X-Factors. The easy (and possibly true, but I'm not convinced) pick for the Rangers is Sean Avery, while for the Capitals it is Defenseman Mike Green in my opinion. While I expect Avery and Green to undoubtedly have an affect, I think what is key for both teams will be which depth players step up and make a difference. For the Rangers, players like Wade Redden, Fredrik Sjostrom, and Markus Naslund come to mind. For the Capitals, I'm thinking Brian Pothier, Brooks Laich, and Tomas Fleischmann could make big differnences. Fleischmann especially, who has 3 points in 3 games against the Blueshirts with a +2 rating.

So do you want a prediction? Well lets put it this way. I wouldn't be surprised to see the Rangers go down here. They made me proud in fighting for a playoff spot and coming through in the clutch recently, but they have been an inconsistent hockey club all year and have been a disappointment overall.

At the same time, the Rangers can beat Washington, and I think the key to that will be making less mistakes than the Capitals. The Rangers play such defensive and safe hockey sometimes that when they make a mistake it is blatantly clear what happened and who is to blame. The Rangers are the underdog alright; but sometimes that is exactly where you want to sit.

What do you think? I would love some feedback from anyone. Thanks for reading.

0 recs  |  Comment 13 comments |

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Schwab nice job

The Rangers margin for error is nil. It’s going to take 60 minutes of hockey every game. Guys like Zherdev, Redden, and Roszival aren’t going to be able to take shifts off. Remeber the 94 Mantra? “Heave-Ho, Heave Ho, Heave-Ho”

Team effort.

Great job on the story, hope you don’t mind me putting it on the main page, but I wanted to make sure everyone got to see it.

Jim

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by Jim Schmiedeberg on Apr 15, 2009 9:20 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

X-Factor

From my standpoint the Rangers biggest X-factor is Zherdev. I have a hard time thinking that this season was his best work. I mean he himself has enough talent to win a series. Would it surprise you if he had a monster series? But he has played as many playoff games as I have (zilch) so we will see.

Great post though, I love stuff off the beaten path …

by Joe Fortunato on Apr 15, 2009 10:53 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Like I've said on here before

Zherdev is Kovalev: The Next Generation

Tons of talent, manure for brains

Blueshirt Banter: Covering the New York Rangers

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by Jim Schmiedeberg on Apr 15, 2009 10:59 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

For w/e reason Zherdev seems to step up when he’s playing a Russian counterpart. Maybe facing Ovechkin will give him added motivation.

The Rangers can’t have anybody sit back. Every single player needs to contribute.

The Manic Ranger

by Ryan McFadden on Apr 15, 2009 11:29 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

This is a good point

Zherdev does seem to throw it all on the line again the Caps, because of Ovechkin. He also threw it all on the line against his former team in Columbus. Like I said before he himself can be a series changer.

He is young, maybe Torts can whip that manure brains into hockey brains. He did it with Lecavalier after all ..

by Joe Fortunato on Apr 15, 2009 12:48 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Wow...

Reading this just showed me how much I’ve lost in the 4+ years since I last followed the Rangers. I will be using this board to “reintroduce” myself to the Rangers.

Great read, thanks for putting it up.

by Intellectual Derriere on Apr 15, 2009 1:02 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Come back to the Rangers, ID

and then come to Florida Pablo Honey

Blueshirt Banter: Covering the New York Rangers

Big Blue View: Unofficial New York Giants blog

by Jim Schmiedeberg on Apr 15, 2009 2:12 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Rangers....

Yes. Florida…No. Don’t get me wrong…Florida is a great place to visit, but you wouldn’t want to live there.

I don’t think I will be able to get the game tonight. So I’ll either be huddled around the computer or making the trip to the local sports bar.

by Intellectual Derriere on Apr 15, 2009 4:58 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Thanks

Hey Jim, thanks for putting this up on the main stage. I would have worked harder on it if I knew it was going to get the grade-A treatment.

Also, I agree with all the Zherdev chat. If he can wake up and find the net a couple of times, he can make just a big an impact as Semin and Ovechkin (to an extent with the latter).

Also Jim; shoot me an email at lukerrr@clarkson.edu – I have a question for you.

Thanks.

by Rob Luker on Apr 15, 2009 2:13 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

So far...

Penalties come into play – 7 for NYR last night compared to 4 for WAS. 2 PP goals each, so the Rangers need to stay out of the box because that won’t happen every night.

Flieschmann with a tip-in, too.

by Rob Luker on Apr 16, 2009 7:31 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Rangers can afford

to take a few penalties, tho the dumb one any team can do without. Id like to see less than 7 tho.

BUt the X factor in the series is the Rangers power play. THey do indeed suck, but if they net a couple it probably will mean wins for the Rangers.

by FreeBradshaw on Apr 16, 2009 10:29 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

so far so good

Rangers PP is red hot

Blueshirt Banter: Covering the New York Rangers

Big Blue View: Unofficial New York Giants blog

by Jim Schmiedeberg on Apr 16, 2009 10:37 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

The power play

has been amazing thus far in the playoffs. but then again it is only one game, and four tries lol

by Joe Fortunato on Apr 16, 2009 1:32 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

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