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East Coast Bias

Pittsburgh Penguins' Sidney Crosby, right, battles with New York Rangers' Marc Staal in the second period of a NHL hockey game in Pittsburgh Saturday, March 28, 2009. The Penguins won 4-3. (AP Photo/Gene J. Puskar)

More photos » Gene J. Puskar - AP

10 months ago: Pittsburgh Penguins' Sidney Crosby, right, battles with New York Rangers' Marc Staal in the second period of a NHL hockey game in Pittsburgh Saturday, March 28, 2009. The Penguins won 4-3. (AP Photo/Gene J. Puskar)



            Since the middle of last season (2007-2008) I began thinking that the Atlantic division is the most challenging division in the NHL to make the playoffs. Four teams made the playoffs from the Atlantic that season, and four did the same this past season along with the Penguins representing the Eastern Conference and Atlantic division in the Stanley Cup Finals. The Atlantic Division may not be the top of the hill every season since the lockout in terms of divisional toughness, but it has been the past three seasons in the Eastern Conference.

            My reasoning for this is very simple. The Rangers, Devils, Penguins, and Flyers have all been playoff contenders since the '05-'06 season (except the Penguins in that season). The Islanders, because they play such stiff competition for almost a fourth of their schedule, are never a pushover; especially in rivalry games that exist so often in the Atlantic. Sure you have Wings/Hawks in the Central, Bruins/Habs in the Northeast, and Flames/Oilers in the Northwest, but in the Atlantic you could make the argument that each team pretty much hates the other four in their division year in and year out. I guess that is where the East Coast Bias shines through, but I'd like to hear the counter-argument against it because I still believe it's true.

            So in order to prove my theory, I crunched some numbers. I went through each season since the lockout and averaged the points of each team, counted the number of playoff teams, and counted the number of teams that had equal to or over 90 points for each division. I also decided to throw a little asterisk in for which Division gave us a Cup Finalist for each year. The jury is still out on this last fact, though, because usually the best team in the season doesn't win the Stanley Cup. Below is the 2005 through 2007 seasons:

Star-divide

Toughdiv0507_medium

            The highlighted row represents the Division I thought was the toughest during that season according to the numbers. Also to note is that the asterisk on the chart represents where the Stanley Cup Finalist came from for each Conference. As you can see, Average Points doesn't necessarily win you the toughest division crown in my book, as I value divisions with teams that make the playoffs and those that have equal to or over 90 points with my East Coast Bias. To continue, below is the 2007 through 2009 seasons:

Toughdiv0709_medium

            Now you can see why I started thinking the Atlantic was the toughest division in the league. One thing that caught my eye about that last chart was that the Divisions with the most teams making playoffs and with or over 90 points are producing the Stanley Cup Finalists. Granted, it's been the same two teams that past two seasons, but it would be an interesting pattern seeing as how the NHL cut back on divisional games this past season. Simply put, it would mean the best teams in the season are having better success in the playoffs if a pattern presented itself over the next three to five seasons. Only time will tell.

            But for those of you who want to define the toughest division just by rock-hard statistics, I bring you the Divisional Average Points by Season chart:

Pointsbyseason_medium

            The Northeast division stays pretty consistent and never goes below 2nd in terms of rank by points; which is ironic considering their success as a division in playoffs. The Central was clearly the toughest division this past season, but I don't think it was the toughest all season. The late surges by the Blue Jackets and Blues were amazing, but the Rangers, Flyers, and Penguins jockeyed for position all season long, mind you.

            So did my theory hold true? In my mind it mostly did. The Atlantic (and Northwest, with the exception of this season, for the West) has clearly been the toughest division in the East the past three seasons, and arguably four. There might be a little East Coast Bias in my thought process, but most of the numbers don't lie.

            So what do you guys think? Happy the Rangers play in one of the toughest divisions in the league? Do you think this helps or hurts the team? Aren't my chart-making skills great yet at the same time a little bit scary? Let's hear it.

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Good stuff Rob, I often felt the Patrick/Atlantic was the toughest in hockey, with the Adams/Northeast right behind it.

The 2005-06 numbers unfortunately are a little skewed because Pittsburgh was terrible, they finished with only 58 points. Three teams in that division (Rangers, Flyers, Rockies Devils) finished with over 100 points.

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by Jim Schmiedeberg on Jun 9, 2009 8:01 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

question

Rob,

Why don’t you include points against the other divisions, maybe like a tiebreaker to see which divisions are tougher?

by stonecoldcory on Jun 9, 2009 10:28 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Because we don't pay him enough

The Banter has a cap too you know.

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by Jim Schmiedeberg on Jun 9, 2009 10:37 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

well that’s true, its a labor of love for all of us

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by Jim Schmiedeberg on Jun 9, 2009 12:25 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Stone:

I tried to keep this simple. While I was doing it I started thinking well the only thing that would really prove this would be division v. division points, but that would take forever to research.

Feel free to do so, though. I would be very interested.

by Rob Luker on Jun 9, 2009 3:48 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

stone cold if you find the info and write it up, we’ll pay you double what we pay Schwabbie

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by Jim Schmiedeberg on Jun 9, 2009 4:09 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

If I find a free 8 hours, I’ll give it a shot….

by stonecoldcory on Jun 10, 2009 2:10 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Great work

It really shows how divisional rivalries have an effect on things. While the Islanders have been horrible they always put up a fight against the Rangers, Devils, Pens and Flyers. When they re-aligned the divisons, these teams stayed the same from the old Patrick Divsion minus the Caps, thus the intense hatred between them all. No other division has this type of round robin hatred and think 4 of the tems play approx within 100 miles of each other. This is why I pine for more home and home within the division.

by nomore1940 on Jun 9, 2009 12:22 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Atlantic Division is the NFC East of hockey

It feels as if each team poses a greater challenge to the other, and the intensity is there amongst both teams and supporters. Everybody gets up for these divisional games.

I don't need no instructions to know how to rock!

by R_Adragna on Jun 9, 2009 5:46 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Interesting

Although in defense of my islanders, I’d like to point out that in 06-07 they did make the playoffs, with the Flyers missing out that season.

by andrew430 on Jun 9, 2009 10:47 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

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Atlantic Standings

GP W L OTL PT
New Jersey 58 36 20 2 74
Pittsburgh 59 35 22 2 72
Philadelphia 57 29 25 3 61
New York Rangers 59 26 26 7 59
New York Islanders 58 23 27 8 54

(updated 2.9.2010 at 9:00 AM EST)

26 - 26 - 7

Won 1


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