Scoring Chances for Game 3 vs Toronto

by George E. Ays on Oct 16, 2010 2:22 PM EDT in New York Rangers Analysis

We'll just get right into it this time, with the definition repeated again for those that are not regular readers, or didn't see the article 8 hours ago:

A scoring chance is defined as a clear play directed toward the opposing net from a dangerous scoring area - loosely defined as the top of the circle in and inside the faceoff dots, though sometimes slightly more generous than that depending on the amount of immediately-preceding puck movement or screens in front of the net. Blocked shots are generally not included, but missed shots are. A player is awarded a scoring chance anytime he is on the ice and someone from either team has a chance to score. He is awarded a "chance for" if someone on his team has a chance to score and a "chance against" if the opposing team has a chance to score.

Despite what one might expect from the depressing 30-12 shot count after two periods, the Rangers were only outchanced 14-11 over that period. No, they didn't have 11 chances in 12 SOG. They had 11 chances of which many fired over and wide of the net, failing often to take advantage of an at times shaky Jean-Sebastien Giguere.

After the jump, the full data for game 3, courtesy again of Vic Ferrari of timeonice.com

Scoring Chances for NHL Game Number 20049

Team	Period	Time	Note	NYR						Opponent
NYR	1	17:42	Stepan	4	10	21	30	31	33	2	11	35	36	37		5v4
TOR	1	14:52	Grabovski	4	5	17	24	30	42	8	16	35	36	41	84	5v5
TOR	1	14:25	Kulemin	4	5	17	24	30	42	2	15	16	35	41	84	5v5
NYR	1	11:38	Anisimov	4	5	17	24	30	42	2	15	16	35	41	84	5v5
NYR	1	10:02	Del Zotto	4	17	24	30	33	42	2	11	35	36	37		5v4
NYR	1	9:49	Callahan	4	17	24	30	33	42	2	11	35	36	37		5v4
NYR	1	6:33	Gaborik	10	18	23	30	31	33	2	15	32	35	42	81	5v5
TOR	1	6:11	Kessel	10	18	23	30	31	33	2	15	32	35	42	81	5v5
TOR	1	6:08	Bozak	10	18	23	30	31	33	2	15	32	35	42	81	5v5
TOR	1	3:24	Kessel	17	18	24	30	33	42	2	15	32	35	42	81	5v5
TOR	1	1:26	Kulemin	5	18	24	30	42		3	15	32	35	42	81	4v5
TOR	2	17:57	MacArthur Goal	17	19	23	30	33	44	2	16	22	35	41	84	5v5
NYR	2	16:04	Del Zotto	4	10	21	30	31	33	2	18	26	35	36		5v4
TOR	2	14:12	Kessel	16	18	19	23	30	33	3	22	32	35	42	81	5v5
TOR	2	13:58	Grabovski	16	18	19	23	30	33	3	16	22	35	41	84	5v5
TOR	2	12:48	Kulemin	4	5	8	22	30	94	3	18	22	26	28	35	5v5
TOR	2	12:10	Kessel Goal	18	24	30	33	42		2	15	35	42	81		4v4
TOR	2	11:12	Versteeg	5	17	30	31	97		3	9	22	32	35		4v4
NYR	2	9:04	Rozsival	18	24	30	33	42		3	15	16	35	41	84	4v5
TOR	2	7:50	Brown	4	5	8	16	22	30	2	18	22	26	28	35	5v5
NYR	2	7:13	Avery	16	21	30	31	44	97	2	15	32	35	42	81	5v5
NYR	2	4:08	Rozsival	16	18	21	30	31	33	8	15	32	35	42	81	5v5
NYR	2	3:47	Fedotenko	18	19	21	30	31	33	8	15	32	35	42	81	5v5
TOR	2	1:36	Brent	16	19	21	30	44	97	8	9	11	22	35	37	5v5
NYR	2	1:07	Dubinsky	17	18	24	30	33	42	2	3	32	35	42	81	5v5
TOR	3	15:32	Phaneuf	5	17	18	30			3	15	35	42	81		3v4
TOR	3	14:49	Kaberle	4	24	30	33			3	15	32	35	42	81	3v5
NYR	3	13:41	Boyle Goal	5	16	18	19	22	30	15	16	22	35	41	42	5v5
NYR	3	13:29	Anisimov	5	8	18	30	31	42	15	16	22	35	41	42	5v5
NYR	3	12:32	Prust	5	8	30	31	42	44	8	9	11	22	35	37	5v5
NYR	3	11:24	Dubinsky	17	18	24	30	33	42	2	15	32	35	42	81	5v5
NYR	3	5:31	Boyle	8	16	18	22	30	33	2	9	11	15	35	37	5v5
TOR	3	3:13	Grabovski	5	8	16	22	30	44	15	16	22	35	41	84	5v5
TOR	3	2:27	Phaneuf	18	24	30	33	42		3	15	32	35	42	81	4v5
NYR	3	0:19	Prust Redirect	5	8	16	18	22	30	2	9	11	15	35	37	5v5
TOR	4	3:31	Versteeg	4	5	17	19	30		9	15	22	32	35		4v4
TOR	4	1:53	Kessel Goal	5	17	30	44			3	15	35	42	81		3v4
TOR	3	14:08	Kaberle	4	16	19	24	30	33	3	15	32	35	42	81	5v5

#	Player	EV			PP			SH
4	M. DEL ZOTTO	13:06	1	6	7:33	4	0	1:58	0	0
5	D. GIRARDI	15:15	5	7	1:33	0	0	5:07	0	3
8	B. PRUST	8:14	4	3	0:00	0	0	0:50	0	0
10	M. GABORIK	4:42	1	2	3:17	2	0	0:00	0	0
16	S. AVERY	12:49	5	6	2:09	0	0	0:00	0	0
17	B. DUBINSKY	14:52	3	6	3:44	2	0	4:02	0	2
18	M. STAAL	19:06	9	6	0:36	0	0	5:15	1	3
19	R. FEDOTENKO	12:39	2	6	2:09	0	0	2:49	0	0
21	D. STEPAN	9:41	3	1	3:19	2	0	0:00	0	0
22	B. BOYLE	9:28	3	3	0:49	0	0	1:27	0	0
23	C. DRURY	7:16	1	5	1:18	0	0	0:37	0	0
24	R. CALLAHAN	13:20	3	5	3:44	2	0	3:43	1	2
30	H. LUNDQVIST	43:38	12	16	9:10	4	0	9:09	1	4
31	A. FROLOV	12:55	6	3	3:17	2	0	0:00	0	0
33	M. ROZSIVAL	17:22	6	8	6:33	4	0	3:08	1	1
42	A. ANISIMOV	14:16	5	4	3:44	2	0	3:40	1	2
44	S. EMINGER	11:11	2	3	0:00	0	0	2:50	0	1
94	D. BOOGAARD	5:29	0	1	0:00	0	0	0:00	0	0
97	M. GILROY	11:47	1	2	2:05	0	0	0:00	0	0

Period	Totals		EV		PP		5v3 PP		SH		5v3 SH
1	5	6	2	5	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	0
2	6	8	4	8	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0
3	6	5	6	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	1
4	0	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0
Totals	17	21	12	16	4	0	0	0	1	4	0	1

Here is the head to head data, again courtesy of Vic Ferrari:

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Comments

yes, overall chances were 14-11 after 2, but EV chances were 13-6 as we were getting dominated at EV. Just because our penalty kill wasnt giving up chances and the numbers look close doesnt display imo accurately the game thru 2. The same way i dont think a 6-5 3rd period for us accurately reflects the way the game at least felt.

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by Michael Gleich on Oct 16, 2010 2:42 PM EDT reply actions

You’re right about the first two periods, good point.

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by George E. Ays on Oct 16, 2010 2:49 PM EDT up reply actions

The Rangers missed the net entirely too often last night, but that’s what happens when you have a team of third liners.

Good stuff as always George.

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by The Suit on Oct 16, 2010 3:52 PM EDT reply actions

Good point; Callahan also takes low or no percentage shots – right at the goalie with no screen – too much. That aspect of his game reminds me of Higgins.

by Joe1969 on Oct 16, 2010 4:58 PM EDT up reply actions

yeah he never puts a move or the brakes on anyone….till he does, 18 goals is about all he’s gonna score

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by The Suit on Oct 16, 2010 6:24 PM EDT up reply actions

Boyle man

that guy has seriously stepped his game up

by Archie Barberio on Oct 16, 2010 5:34 PM EDT reply actions

So, i Know its only 3 games but who would of knew we’d be 1st in goals scored and 30th in Goals given…weird.

by louielounz1 on Oct 17, 2010 11:23 AM EDT reply actions

well we looked that way in preseason.

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by Michael Gleich on Oct 17, 2010 1:05 PM EDT up reply actions

Well they have upgraded the offence not Defense,replaced REDDEN WITH Eminger ,and no
defensive coach

by nyr121 on Oct 17, 2010 12:17 PM EDT reply actions

For those curious

Or even still reading this…the Leafs tracking had it at 19-18 Leafs.

http://sd24leafsblog.blogspot.com/2010/10/game-4-maple-leafs-vs-ny-rangers-oct-15.html

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by George E. Ays on Oct 17, 2010 5:27 PM EDT reply actions

even you stat nerds cant agree, lol.

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by Michael Gleich on Oct 17, 2010 10:40 PM EDT up reply actions

put it this way

i was at the game (sec 228) and the second period was probably more lopsided in person than what it looked like on tv

no stat lines can really accurately describe how bad toronto’s speed made the rangers look

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by joereiter on Oct 18, 2010 9:10 AM EDT reply actions

Oh I know, b/c of this project I watched the game twice. Toronto was flying. It doesn’t change that the Rangers had several chances from good locations that they didn’t force Giguere to make a save on, which doesn’t help matters.

The three goals came from a soft wrister, a long wrist shot that may/may not have been tipped by Phaneuf, and a goal where Giguere was lost. That’s not the evidence of a goalie on his game. Had they put a few more on net from the scoring chance area, they might’ve stolen 2 pts instead of 1.

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by George E. Ays on Oct 18, 2010 10:12 AM EDT up reply actions

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