Rangers Analysis: Good Ol' 8th Seed
Sad, but true. That is about the absolute highest possible point the Rangers will likely reach this season. With the addition of Alexander Frolov this past Tuesday the belief is that the Blueshirts will have a better chance at making a run at the playoffs in 2010-11. If I were a betting man I would have bet against them even coming close to the playoffs until Frolov was added, and even so I am still skeptical. Once again general manager Glen Sather has worked his magic and done his best to put together a mediocre squad that possibly will sneak into the postseason. Ladies and Gentlemen, it is the same approach we have witnessed ever since the lockout.
Now I have no problem with this as long as the following holds true: Sather was completely, and I mean without a single doubt, sure that none of New York's prospects were ready to make the jump to the National Hockey League. If Frolov is just a stop-gap for this year until youngsters are ready next year, that is fine by me. But if a young player in juniors or the AHL is ready and has to stay down because of Frolov, then that aggravates me.
Sather eventually has to commit to whether he wants to build a playoff team or a Stanley Cup team and yes, there is a difference. The difference is much greater than many believe, actually, and it all has to do with depth and role players. The Rangers have stars in Marian Gaborik, Marc Staal, and Henrik Lundqvist. On their way to stardom are Artem Anisimov and Michael Del Zotto. Other than that, the team is not all that impressive.
More after the jump......
Ryan Callahan and Brandon Dubinsky are secondary scorers but can be very streaky. Sean Avery and Chris Drury score once in a blue moon even though the effort is always there. Besides the players that I listed in the "star" or "on their way to stardom" categories, there is no, and will not be any consistency on this team.
Frolov should help chip in a few here and there but based on what he produced last year I have not placed my expectations too high. The defensive squad as a whole is unreliable and by all means you cannot count on the offense to bury the needed goal. This squad is
not built to make it past the first round playoffs, and just making it there would be considered luck.
Look at the Blackhawks, look at the Flyers, look at the Penguins. There are all built in layers looking sort of like this:
Stars
Secondary Scoring
Role Players / Gritty Players
I know it feels like Middle School social studies class with the social pyramid here but that is the best way of explaining it. The stars are the most important but the least abundant. Secondary scoring comes next and is a little more dense than the stars. Following them are your role players or gritty players. It is a nice even distribution that will give you a shot at Lord Stanley's Cup.
The Rangers' problem is that the middle group - secondary scoring - is completely missing from their pyramid. Or if it is in fact there, it is extremely weak and unstable, eventually causing the top level - stars - to collapse from the lack of support from the lower level. That is just about the m
ost precise way of describing the New York Rangers and their struggles.
"True stability results when presumed order and presumed disorder are balanced. A truly stable system expects the unexpected, is prepared to be disrupted, waits to be transformed."
~American Novelist Tom Robbins
That is another problem of the Blueshirts'; they do not have the ability to adjust. While I partly blame the coaching staff for that, the personnel does not help much either. The skill is not there to adjust their game, make changes for each opponent. The Rangers can only play one variation of hockey and if the opponent can stop it, there are no other options. Remember back to the Sunday afternoon game where it was do or die for the Rangers against the Boston Bruins? New York lost that game because of their inability to adjust. That contest is a perfect example.
All of this factors in when you want to make a run at the Stanley Cup. You need stability on all levels, you need to be able to make changes, and most of all consistency is key. Without all of those, the highest point you are chasing is the eighth seed, just like our New York Rangers.
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same old bull
This team will never change. Will never get the top picks in the draft cause this idiot wants to just make the playoffs and if we do we wont be able to compete in them anyway .I rather hit bottom then 8th seed cause if we do make the plaoffs we will only get embarrassed . That is why this team will never get top pick in the drafts.becuse they settle for a medicore team.and dont kid yourself in thinking they can do what philly did even with hank in net cause the couldent
It's very hard to get a top three pick
You seriously have to be bad. And I don’t think that this is a mediocore team at all, I think we’re a lot better than people are giving us credit for
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by Joe Fortunato on Jul 30, 2010 9:46 AM EDT up reply actions
Yup. This team is going to surprise people.
by Dave Shapiro on Jul 30, 2010 11:29 AM EDT up reply actions
Again,
I agree with Joe. This team was better than a whole pile of clubs who made the playoffs last year and we’ve only gotten better. Our youth have more experience and we have more depth. We will finish a good eight to ten games over .500 and seed fifth or sixth in the east.
d
In all honesty, the only team the Rangers were clearly better than was Montreal.
Yes, the Rangers have improved, but so have other teams. Should the Rangers make the playoffs? Yes. After that, anything can happen in a 7-game series.
No, but we were better than Ottawa.
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by George E. Ays on Jul 30, 2010 12:33 PM EDT up reply actions
hey Nick.........i agree completely.
This Ranger team is mediocre at best. Yes signing Frolov was a decent move at 1 yr but it does nothing in terms of making the Rangers a stronger club from the inside out. Any team that makes it deep into the playoffs has those layers you were talking about. The stars must be stars and the 2ndary scorers must chip in leaving the gritty role players to do they’re thing as well. As this ranger team is built now we are missing the meat of that sandwich……….I dont blame the coaching staff as much as I do management………uhhh you need apples to make apple pie…………..dont you?
by giantsNYrangers on Jul 30, 2010 7:22 AM EDT reply actions
Why jump on the negativity bandwagon?
Some of our prospects are rated highly for a reason and there are alot of prospects with NHL potential. The ‘blocks’ to roster spots are not there long term and no long term blocks have been added this summer. There’s no reason why this team cannot grow. The core is expanding. Lets give it a chance this season (the kids to develop, the skill guys to score) before we keep calling it mediocre. This team has UPSIDE
Do we all forget how the Devils are screwed cap wise when Kovy signs? How Philly still cant make a save and had to give away core guys like Gagne for headcases like Zherdev?
Detroit and SJ need to be our model for success not losers like Pittsburgh who inflict a generation of loss on to their fan bases just to luck out in the draft.
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Why the negativity?...............its the rangers were talking about here
And yeah, we keep hearing about these “prospects”….let me know when they finally get here and break out……….
by giantsNYrangers on Jul 30, 2010 7:30 AM EDT up reply actions
Well the second coming of sidney crosby
is further off then next years draft, so i would think before throwing away a season
The 2011 draft isnt considered particularly strong at this point and we have alot of players developing anyway. lets see where we go this year. If we develop the core, stay competitive then consider the team to be on the right path.
Besides, in 2 3 years Jersey are in a world of hurt when Brodeur is gone, Rolston, Langenbrunner is gone and they have very little to replace it. Philly better hope their team as constructed doesnt regress or they are in trouble for a decade. No team in this conference is without weakness. Not even the Caps or Pens.
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I think the Flyers and Devils have made great moves.
Gagne was costly for the Flyers, but Zherdev is a good hockey player and a proven scorer. The fact that he hasn’t seen much success in the playoffs does not mean he’s a head case.
And Kovalchuk, is going to be a very economical signing for the Devils even if an arbitrator makes them tweak his contract. They are far from screwed by the salary cap.
Well, they’re only kind of screwed instead of royally screwed given Kovy’s cap number. They still have to move at least two guys, and maybe more to make room to re-sign Parise.
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by George E. Ays on Jul 30, 2010 9:59 AM EDT up reply actions
Nice read but i think its a bit too much doom and gloom.
Frolov is a nice addition. There’s no reason you cannot win and build at the same time (SJ, Detroit etc). While it is undoubtedly a variable you have not accounted for possible development in any of the current younger roster players. Whose to say Callahan, Dubinsky, Girardi, Gilroy, Prust etc don’t make strides? Even if just some of them do then it’s still progression. Then there are areas of improvement such as goaltending. The whole situation there is much more stable there than it was allowing for success.
Then there is roster turnover. Frolov’s addition is fine. He has motivation to earn a new deal and if he does then it is Prospal that goes in 12 months to be replaced by prospect X. The Rangers do have some flexibility going forward. Roszival, Christensen, Drury all have 2 years to run, some players have less. Most likely Kreider (for example) wont be an NHL (impact) player until 2 years down the road and so when he is ready the turnover continues….
So long as its done the right way, you can build and win together. This team has some very nice core pieces in place, some more potentially on the way. There is prospect depth to continue the turnover. It might not work but it also might.
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Not to mention
that playing along established players such as Frolov, in situations where winning is important (NOT if we are in last place hoping to be saved by a number one pick), our younger players are going to develop and prosper.
success and a winning culture
you dont need to win immediately to develop that. This can start this season. It doesnt need to be a deep run immediately.
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what if cally, duby, & drew scored 20+
that’s what they’re supposed to do right? On paper this team is built the way you like. It a matter execution.
well said.
There is talent and upside there. Execution is a big part. If Dubi and Cally dont produce then move them on and bring the next two kids in. Turnover. We have enough in the pipeline now where we can start to emphsise this.
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very well said
and prospal and frolov. they all do what they can and are expected to do, and we have a very solid season this yr.
by BronxBeliever on Jul 30, 2010 9:40 AM EDT up reply actions
If he gets 1st unit PP time, it wouldn't surprise me.
Look at his 5v5 goals, starting with last year, all the way back to his rookie season:
12, 11, 13, 17, 12, 12, 17, 16, 13, 13, 14.
Not alot of variance there, is there? His ability to score 20 has almost always been tied to his PP production. If he gets that time, he’ll get 20. That’s a pretty big IF though.
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by George E. Ays on Jul 30, 2010 1:45 PM EDT up reply actions
call me crazy
but if Drury comes to camp in kick ass shape, I think he should get a shot on the top PP line and center the 2nd line, maybe even center the first line…those spots should be his to lose based on how he performs in camp, september, and early season games
locking him in on the 3rd line off the bat, as a lot of people are doing I don’t think is giving his full resume credit
Drury will get used on all 4 lines this year. I’m almost ready to lock that up. Same coach, same basic team, I don’t see how his role will change.
The biggest thing is PP1 time. If he gets that, he’ll bounce back. If he doesn’t…he’s going to give you ~14 goals again.
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by George E. Ays on Jul 30, 2010 2:09 PM EDT up reply actions
Maybe...
I means its the Rangers and what they’ve done this offseason and the recent past, really can’t expect more then the 8th. While I’d be optimistic about Frolov bringing a lot to the team, the reality is it seems that players like him come to NY only to see their production drop, for whatever reason.
I hope not tho. I do think there’s potential to be better then the 8th seed, but that’s just me. Some nice young talent like Cally, Dubi, AA, Staal (hopefully) and MDZ. Why can’t they improve?
The Rangers only have 2 stars I guess, bunch of role players and who’s gonna bring the secondary scoring? How much is enough secondary scoring? Couldn’t Frolov open up the ice, if he plays up his potential, for others?
Go New York Go!
Gabby's production didn't
:D
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by Joe Fortunato on Jul 30, 2010 9:47 AM EDT up reply actions
If the criteria is “their production didn’t drop” you can add Gomez as well.
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by George E. Ays on Jul 30, 2010 12:16 PM EDT up reply actions
I appreciate their will always be pessimism while certain decision makers are in charge but the gras isnt always greener. There is considerable talent in this organisation to address all 3 layers that Nick makes mention of; Stars, secondary, role players.
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that talent is coming, yes, but for now it is still in the AHL and elsewhere unfortunately. In a few year this team will be good, but for now it is the same 8th seed squad.
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by Nick Montemagno on Jul 30, 2010 9:31 AM EDT up reply actions
i suppose my main counter argument/point was that a 7th, 8th seeded team can still have success, providing the talented kids a nice foundation to join when they are ready.
Thats why im not buying quite as much doom and gloom because if we can maintain a regular playoff spot until Stepan, Kreider, Werek, Mcilrath and Grachev etc are ready then we’ll be better for it. Even if its just 1st and 2nd rounds every year. Its still valuable experience.
If, when they are all ready, the MDZ’s, Dubi’s, Callahan’s and AA’s have all got 10, 20, 30 playoff games udner their belt we’ll be much better positioned.
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I personally feel the Rangers are 1 solid piece – and some progression from within their own ranks – away from being a solid team in this conference. Im not saying map out the parade route by any stretch but they can be a 5th seed team while the kids grow, with one astute move. It doesnt have to be a big one either. Depth can trump top heavy teams.
My point is that there may be alot of variables in play to progress as i suggest but its just as possible as is mediocrity which is being discussed here.
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The Detroit model is the Gold Standard to follow....
…stay the course. I agree you can be competitive while re-tooling.
Oh, and sign me up for the 8th seed now. I’ll take some playoff hockey while the kids develop.
BTW – what seed did last year’s conference champion come out of??? Oh yeah 7th – and that team made the playoffs on the last day? in a shootout? against who again? Ahh memories……
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thanks
i’ve been trying to explain this to people. our club was on an upward trajectory and played a lot of really good hockey last year. we had several huge winning streaks that proved we have the foundation of a great team. we were getting more and more consistent, not less and less.
The defense still needs a bunch of improvement.
I’m pretty good at defending the unit normally, but you only have one top pairing guy, one top 4 (Girardi), and a bunch of bottom 4 guys (Rozsival, Del Zotto, Eminger, Gilroy, and McDonagh for now). That doesn’t scream “championship defense” by any stretch. It is out deepest prospect pool, but defense also typically takes the longest to develop.
More than the weird obsession with a #1 center to pry 5 more points out of Gaborik, they could really use another top 4 guy if fans want to contemplate any sort of run.
Pitt has Letang-Orpik-Martin-Michalek
Phi has Pronger-Timmonen-Meszaros-Carle
NJ has Volchenkov, Tallinder, White and Greene
Our group isn’t competitive with that right now. Grabbing a Sutton, a Mitchell, or even a Mike Mottau would certainly help.
The scoring is what it is. You hope for development from the guys under 25, and hope for consistency from the guys over it.
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Colin White is nothing special (at all) and Letang has promise but this is another example of the ‘grass is greener’. They arent great irreplacable pieces either…..And Meszaros has to find his game again. Wasnt exactly all star material in Tampa.
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White is nothing special, but routinely plays the Devs hardest minutes and quite often outscores while he’s out there (not himself, the team while he’s on the ice). He’s a solid top 4 defenseman.
Letang’s closer to bottom 4 than top 4 (so..a 2nd pair guy), but he’s still a good defenseman (who mind you is only 23 years old)
And replace Meszaros with Coburn if you prefer, they really have 5 top 4 guys.
It’s not a grass is greener thing at all, and I’m not saying anything about “irreplacable.” Top 4 guys are replaceable with other, better top 4 guys. Only Pronger on that list is really irreplacable. Nonetheless, any of those 12 would instantly be a top 4 on this team.
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by George E. Ays on Jul 30, 2010 9:33 AM EDT up reply actions
Staal? Or are you counting him gone already.
And while MDZ’s probably not a legit top 4 guy seemingly on 7/30/10…why can’t he become that? Unless he has a soph slump, MDZ should improve on last year, hopefully better defensively
Go New York Go!
by FreeBradshaw on Jul 30, 2010 9:30 AM EDT up reply actions
Im sorry but with a little bit of polish even a rookie Del Zotto is at Letang’s level.
There’s an obsession with other teams players. MDZ has as much upside as Letang and offensively is his equal already.
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You're missing the point.
We’re talking about competitiveness in 2010-2011 in this thread, not the future of the franchise. I’ll gladly take MDZ over Letang, given he’s 4 years younger.
But he’s not the equal of Letang right now. And if we’re talking about being a playoff contender in 2010-11…MDZ is simply not a top 4 right now.
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by George E. Ays on Jul 30, 2010 9:35 AM EDT up reply actions
I’m not missing the point; im trying to discuss both and i think this club will be competitive in 10-11.
Letang had 27 points last year on a powerhouse team, averaging 21 minutes a game. He was overtaken by Goligoski on their depth chart it seems so im not so sure Letang was a top 4 guy last year. He shot less than 2(!) %.
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I agree, we’ll be competitive, but our defense is lacking, especially in our division. I don’t see how one can argue otherwise. We have guys that are decent but we have no shut down defender outside of Staal, and maybe, maybe Girardi. There’s no depth to the defense behind that…but even adding one guy would seriously help that.
And Letang was top 30 in the NHL in even strength production, and in ES P/60. You’re right…I forgot about Goligoski, which really just makes their defense that much stronger than us also. Incidentally..I’ll glady take the guy that takes 173 shots in a season on this defense. 2% is pretty sure to be an anomaly (I don’t why this is turning into a “defend Letang” argument…but I’m not sure if you’re trying to tell me we have 4 guys better than him this instant)
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by George E. Ays on Jul 30, 2010 9:49 AM EDT up reply actions
Did you watch Goligoski much?
He’s freaking horrible. Can’t play defense and is a mess on offensive. He’s all talent, no production. Letang is MUCH better even though he had a down offensive season.
by Lunkwill Fook on Jul 30, 2010 10:43 AM EDT up reply actions
Nah…I don’t have center ice or anything, I worry about our team and honestly don’t spend a lot of time watching and analyzing other teams.
He had 37 points in 69 games, led the pens in relative +/-, and 2nd among the pens D in GVT. To me, that seems good enough, and certainly not “no production.”
I’ll take your word for it, I happened to think Letang was better instinctually, but the numbers seem to say Gogs had a much better season.
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by George E. Ays on Jul 30, 2010 10:55 AM EDT up reply actions
He can. I’m sure you’ve seen me defend MDZ’s defense plenty…mostly blaming the awkward pairing of he and Girardi that got destroyed all year.
Similarly…I think we all expect McDonagh to step in and tear shit up, but for now he has to be considered a bottom 4 guy until he proves otherwise.
Is Staal-Girardi-McDonagh-Del Zotto a good enough top 4 for the long haul? Yes. (though McIlrath probably replaces Girardi at some point). Is it good enough now? I’m skeptical, despite my normal super-optimism.
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by George E. Ays on Jul 30, 2010 9:39 AM EDT up reply actions
for the 8th seed tho?
I mean…basically that’s replacing Redden with McDonagh…and I can’t see how much different that is then last year, when we were pretty damn close. Is it really tempering optimism to think McDonagh will be better, or at worst as good as Redden?
The whole team isn’t Chip caliber, so that’s really not a concern to me that the D isn’t there yet.
And while he makes a ton and is average at best, as a final pairing defenseman, isn’t Rozi not so bad?
Go New York Go!
by FreeBradshaw on Jul 30, 2010 9:48 AM EDT up reply actions
good point.
I think McDonagh needs to be managed carefully but he cant be worse than Redden -i hope. Certainly better cap value!
The way Rosi played the last third of the season im happy to have him for another year.
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For an 8 seed, sure. They’ll be alright, nothing special, but with Hank, you can live with certain things. Hank helps counter balance some weaknesses.
But for what it’s worth, I know we absolutely destroy Redden around here (with cause), he was still a +8 last year. It’s not an irrelevant number, especially when Redden himself provides pretty much no offense.
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by George E. Ays on Jul 30, 2010 9:53 AM EDT up reply actions
Haha. Yes.
But take the money aside for a minute…rookies are capable of being plus players but rookies are also typically sheltered, it’s rare to have a Tyler Myers that can play 20 minutes against other teams #1s and outscore them.
Given the pairing of Girardi-MDZ so often last year..it feels like Torts was not sheltering him because he was too busy sheltering Redden and Gilroy, and that could also have contributed to that pairing getting run over.
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by George E. Ays on Jul 30, 2010 9:58 AM EDT up reply actions
Very good point.
I’ve said it before but im hoping Gilroy’s experiences at the WC will help him kick on. At the very least I hope he provides stern competition for a top 6 spot.
Legitimate alternative options crying out for ice time were not there last season. So, while Torts said they may have ‘taken out’ Redden earlier, was the option to do so there? Eminger and Gilroy (and McDonagh) could, should provide that this time around, in theory, making the unit better.
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by Jurgennehls on Jul 30, 2010 10:04 AM EDT up reply actions
Actually..yeah you’re right…he didn’t. He was last on the team. There goes that theory.
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by George E. Ays on Jul 30, 2010 10:07 AM EDT up reply actions
Though I wish I could see splits of the the QC…I’m wondering if the comp was so bad early that he never made up for it….hmm..
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by George E. Ays on Jul 30, 2010 10:08 AM EDT up reply actions
I don’t think so. Redden was seeing PK time late in the season. Even GIlroy saw more PK time than MDZ. MDZ was sheltered the whole way through the season. Hopefully Girardi will be back up with Staal so that he and MDZ don’t bump into each other anymore.
PK’s a different argument…I’m more concerned with the ES matchups. You’re almost certainly right, I’m still curious, simply because it doesn’t strike me as normal that Girardi-MDZ would not only get 3rd pair competition, but also get hammered by it. Something’s amiss there, just wish I knew what.
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by George E. Ays on Jul 30, 2010 10:51 AM EDT up reply actions
Does QOC include the relative +/- of all opponents during all situations? For instance when Girardi was on the PK he would accrue 5 QOC opponents of a certain nature. [Each of those guys are still input with their ES data]. Then when Del Zotto faces 4 PK’ers he accrues those 4 players’ ES ratings? That might explain a good part of the shift.
But I do believe the PK part is also a reasonable counter of the idea that Del Zotto was being sheltered less than Redden and Gilroy. If he was being sheltered less, he would have been exposed to more PP time.
There are QCs for each, 5v5, 4v5, and 5v4. There’s no globalized one, which wouldn’t be that telling anyway because scoring rates are much higher for special teams situations. Especially in a case like MDZ where he’s getting close to no time on the PK, the QC really wouldn’t be telling it all. I suppose if there was one weighted for ice time in situations it was give some value, but I think it’s smarter to look at the man power situations individually.
I agree that the lack of SH time indicates a sheltering, or at least a lack of trust defensively.
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by George E. Ays on Jul 30, 2010 11:07 AM EDT up reply actions
behindthenet.ca
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by George E. Ays on Jul 30, 2010 12:30 PM EDT up reply actions
Yeah…also, you can easily switch between screens by changing things in the address bar. So switching 2007 to 2009 is quick, as is switching from 5v5 to 5v4, and assorted other things.
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by George E. Ays on Jul 30, 2010 12:39 PM EDT up reply actions
Oh...nvm on the Staal thing, I sees it
Go New York Go!
by FreeBradshaw on Jul 30, 2010 9:30 AM EDT up reply actions
yeah..didn’t feel like I needed to point out who the top pairing guy was.
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by George E. Ays on Jul 30, 2010 9:31 AM EDT up reply actions
That is another good point, RangerSmurf. The defense lacks luster. They need serious help other than Staal, DZ and Girardi. Hopefully Gilroy develops and McDonagh too, but we still lack the tough guy like you mentioned. Sutton may have been a former Islander, but that guy can hit.
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by Nick Montemagno on Jul 30, 2010 9:32 AM EDT up reply actions
I wouldn't mind Sutton
doesn’t one year in Canada wash away Islander stink?
Go New York Go!
by FreeBradshaw on Jul 30, 2010 9:37 AM EDT up reply actions
That didn’t work for Trotier.
by It may HAVE to Last a Lifetime on Jul 30, 2010 10:11 AM EDT up reply actions
While Sather has compounded the problem until lately, the Rangers drafting record from the mid-90s to the mid-00s, is rather unremarkable. Many of the top picks were wasted and when they did draft quality players, they were traded (Savard, Zidlicky). You can’t simply flip a switch and be good after so many years of drafting poorly. Gordie Clark has turned it around and the Rangers have been better since 2004 (although Montoya and Korpi in the 1st were bad). We are just starting to see the benefits with Staal, AA, Dubi,Cally, DZ and the group in Hartford this year. They are on the right path, but it takes time. So can we please stopping pushing for idiotic Richards, Spezza, [insert name here] trades that give up some of our best young players.
That is about the absolute highest possible point the Rangers will likely reach this season.
I’ll take that bet, sounds like I could get excellent odds. I’m all for pessimism, but this is hockey, and placing such a high degree of certainty on predicted standings is foolish. Where was Ottawa supposed to finish last year. Yea, maybe we are in for another long season, or maybe the Rangers surprise us, as a number of teams do each year.
Our secondary scoring
Is going to be playing in Hartford for one more season. We are 1-2 seasons from putting a very talented, deep team on the ice.
In the meantime I think an addition of 1 25-30 goal scorer does a great job of answering secondary scoring for the short term. If gabby does around 40, frolov goes 25-30, & dubs cally and prospal all net around 20 then that’s some decent scoring depth and a decently balanced team
by Conway on Jul 30, 2010 9:22 AM EDT via mobile reply actions
The secondary scoring is coming, yes. Grachev, Stepan, Kreider, Bourque will all be studs, but for this year it will again be weak. When those kids come up this team will be good.
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by Nick Montemagno on Jul 30, 2010 9:34 AM EDT up reply actions
I’d replace Bourque with Werek on that list, but yes.
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by George E. Ays on Jul 30, 2010 9:40 AM EDT up reply actions
Bourque needs to bulk up a lot before people start penciling him into lineups
The last non NHL roster I saw on him put him at 5’7, 150s-160s. Keep in mind that teams usually add 1-2 inches and about 10-15 pounds to roster listings. That’s really small for someone who plays a like a grinder…and how big can he really get? Chris was listed at 5’8 175 I think and is Russia bound……kid is a long ways away
why though?
Callahan, Dubinsky Avery, Anisimov and hell, even Drury all have 15 goals+ in them potentially.
None of them may be on the top line. If they play to modest expectancy i’d say thats solid secondary scoring. Frolov potentially allows players to play on lines that befit their current status. It allows for more secondary scoring.
blueseatblogs.com
Just a thought....
… on the topic of secondary scoring. If you look at our “Goals For” last year we were actually better than two playoff teams (Bos & MTL) and virtually even with two others (OTT & NJ) – that puts us right in the middle of the pack with the eight playoff teams from our conference last year. Unfortunately there was a serious gap in GA between us and teams like NJ & OTT. Tightening up there may lead to more victories than a few extra goals. (Although Torts will never play that game)
General stats like GF & GA are quite useless but I think our lack of offense tends to get overstated. With the addition of Frolov and (hopefully) and another year of development for the younger guys – I’m more concerned with the other end of the ice.
"pain heals - chicks dig scars - Glory, lasts forever" - Shane Falco
Hope so
I will admit i wasnt fussed by the pick on the day of the draft but Clark/Sather seem to have unearthed a game in the 20’s with Kreider. He improved drastically as the year went on last year and he’s already said he’ll be coming out of NCAA in a year.
Could have a huge future. The fact he was a college kid playing at the WC speaks volumes.
blueseatblogs.com
by Jurgennehls on Jul 30, 2010 10:42 AM EDT up reply actions
Yeah he was one of the only college kids on that team I think? I hope he get sstronger in the next 2 years, he is already very fast and has great hands
He was the ONLY college kid to make it to the worlds. He saw some decent ice time and scored a goal and generally acquited himself well. More importantly the learning around NHL players and the whole experience would have been invaluable.
blueseatblogs.com
by Jurgennehls on Jul 30, 2010 10:48 AM EDT up reply actions
when...
websites do their ‘3 years from now’ re-drafts i think Kreider would be top 10. Just shows you how inexact a science the whole draft thing is.
blueseatblogs.com
by Jurgennehls on Jul 30, 2010 10:49 AM EDT up reply actions
TSN already did a redraft..Kreider’s 17th now according to them (which is silly since a good 3/4 of these guys haven’t played a game yet)
http://www.tsn.ca/draftcentre/feature/?id=25979
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Blueshirt Banter
by George E. Ays on Jul 30, 2010 10:56 AM EDT up reply actions
wow. a re-draft already?! a tad early i’d say!
blueseatblogs.com
by Jurgennehls on Jul 30, 2010 10:58 AM EDT up reply actions
I agree..it’s dumb, but it’s an instant reaction society.
Camp Tortorella - Where Vomit is a Mainstay
Blueshirt Banter
by George E. Ays on Jul 30, 2010 10:59 AM EDT up reply actions
For what its worth i also disagree with their re-draft. Its very pro canadian teams. Surely given the year Kreider had he’d rise more than two spots, whereas Tim Erixon rises 9? i digress….
blueseatblogs.com
by Jurgennehls on Jul 30, 2010 11:00 AM EDT up reply actions
Everyone has an agenda.
Camp Tortorella - Where Vomit is a Mainstay
Blueshirt Banter
by George E. Ays on Jul 30, 2010 11:01 AM EDT up reply actions
You probably saw this but...
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QHOFyATBRww&feature=related
it’s not like BU is any good anyway…
Actually Nick
I disagree with you. I’m currently writing a three part series as to how the Rangers will contend for home ice advantage!
Seriously it will be going up soon
Blueshirt Banter: Covering the New York Rangers the only NHL team with three home arenas.
"We can trade Lisin for a gun, then hold it to Drury’s head and make him waive the no-movement clause" - XLII
Seriously..out of college and drinking at 9:43AM? At least wait til ten Joe.
Camp Tortorella - Where Vomit is a Mainstay
Blueshirt Banter
by George E. Ays on Jul 30, 2010 9:53 AM EDT up reply actions
Love the optimism
& look forward to it. I fall right in the middle of both your viewpoints
by Conway on Jul 30, 2010 10:13 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions
The Rangers a like a box of chocolate
I agree that that the make-up of a team needs to be something along the lines of your “pyramid.” This is required by the salary cap. But I think its also true that the there is not much difference between teams 3-10 in the East. [Also, given the performance in the playoffs, there’s something wrong in Washington beyond the excess of feminine hygyne products although I’m not smart enough to figure it out.] This means that if a couple of the middle-tier players have “career years”, the Rangers could finish better than 8.
If you don’t beleive that there is a chance that Dubinsky, Callihan, Del Zotto and Anisimov will improve after a few year(s) of experience, then I don’t know why you would have faith in the recent draft picks.
by It may HAVE to Last a Lifetime on Jul 30, 2010 10:28 AM EDT reply actions
Nick,
“Ryan Callahan and Brandon Dubinsky are seconday scorers but can be streaky.” Every single secondary scorer in the NHL is streaky. That’s what happens when you score less than 30 goals. People look at scoring patterns and try to find streaks where they bunch together.
If you’re speaking only of the coming season. You’ve also left out Prospal as a secondary scorer. Last season, he was the Rangers best forward not named Marian.
And finally, you’re forgetting the parity that exists in the Eastern Conference. As bad as the Rangers were last year, they were only 4 points out of 6th place in the conference and 7 points away from 5th place. Surely the Devils and Flyers have improved, but there’s no reason to believe the entire conference has taken off without the Blueshirts quite yet. Barring something drastic, the Rangers should be mired right where they were last season: anywhere from 5th to 13th in the East.
Speaking of secondary players, Blake Wheeler has signed his one year deal.
Not sure that takes him off the market though.
blueseatblogs.com
NHL’s official Twitter account.
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Blueshirt Banter
by George E. Ays on Jul 30, 2010 11:01 AM EDT up reply actions
plenty of twitter updates:
even the NHL twitter feed has it:
NHL blake wheeler signs one year deal w bruins
blueseatblogs.com
by Jurgennehls on Jul 30, 2010 11:02 AM EDT up reply actions
Just to remind Nick and everyone else: the Eastern Conference final featured the Canadiens and Flyers….all the top seeds in the East were out after round 2. So to say that 8th place is meaningless is not accurate at all. Getting to the playoff tourney is all a team needs to do in this day and age to have a shot at the Cup.
Add in the fact that the Rangers have Lundqvist in nets, and this team can win more than one round in the East to be sure. The Devils are a joke in the postseason over the last few years, Fleury appears to have lost his game in Pittsburgh, the Caps have no defense and a crappy goaltending situation. There’s no reason to be this negative about the Rangers, and it’s laughable to suggest that the Ranger fanbase would put up with 3-4 awful seasons to stockpile draft picks….and draft picks are never a guarantee either. For every Sid Crysby there’s at least one flop the level of Alexandre Daigle….
Prole art threat.
by greifi griffie on Jul 30, 2010 12:21 PM EDT reply actions
i really dont agree with much of this.
were rebuilding, no doubt. stepan grachev kreider werek byers mcilrath johnson are all coming up.
mcd and mza are coming up this year.
mdz ansimov and gilroy came up last year.
staal girardi dubi and cally are still all young..
what else do you want? we were only 7 points away from 5th place last and what have we done this offseason?
replaced redden and erickson with mcd and eminger
replaced lisin with mza
replaced jokinen with frolov
replaced auld/vally with biron
replaced shelley with boogey
the team is no doubt better, and dont forget that staal girardi mza gilroy aa dubi and cally are still getting better.
this team could EASILY get a 5th-6th seed, and what i love is in the next 2 seasons we have like 5 players each year coming off, and there willl be plenty of spots open for youth.
LET'S GO RANGERS!!!
and more expensive UFA’s!!! oh wait sorry, sather had me brainwashed
by BronxBeliever on Jul 30, 2010 12:42 PM EDT up reply actions
redden has not been replaced for certain yet. eminger is not an upgrade over him, he is just cheaper. it’s too early to say if mcdonagh will be an upgrade, but he is also cheaper.
mza might not be an upgrade over lisin
biron is not necessarily an upgrade over either auld or valiquette. biron was one of the worst goalies in the league last year even accounting for the quality of his teammates.
replacing boogard with shelley is a wash
frolov is an upgrade over jokinen, but this team is not necessarily any better or worse than last year’s squad.
well
redden has not been replaced for certain yet. eminger is not an upgrade over him, he is just cheaper. it’s too early to say if mcdonagh will be an upgrade, but he is also cheaper.
by that alone eminger is an upgrade
the production level is almost identical between them, eminger doesn’t do anything worse
This from a man who thinks the plural of goose is sheep.
statistically they're very close
replacing redden in the lineup with eminger is not so drastic a step back that would hurt the team any worse than throwing redden and his indifferent play out there every game
and eminger, if i remember him from playing in dc, is more physical that redden
This from a man who thinks the plural of goose is sheep.
that should've read
‘from his play in dc’
and i’m a writer making such a horrific mistake, go figure
This from a man who thinks the plural of goose is sheep.
I hate mopey fans
The start and finish of last season were fantastic. They were something like 9-1 to start, and finished with a similar stretch as well. Pretty much the same team is coming back for this season, except swap out Kotalik or Jokenin for Frolov. That’s an upgrade. And add in a player who will actually defend the star players instead of just standing there. Added that too. Why so down on the future? Sure, they’re not winning the division. But the team that came within a game of making the playoffs last year just got a little bit better. And if they mesh like they did at the start and finish of last year, and avoid the mid-year mega-slump, they’ll be just fine.
I miss Prucha & Orr...
by MartyEqualsPansy on Jul 30, 2010 1:12 PM EDT reply actions
I dont know if anybody said this yet but.......
This team is far better than last years team, Far better. This team has basically been together last year and had a full season under Torts and with each other. The moves we made have gotten us better. Increased chemistry plus knowing what to expect will prove to be a deciding factor in how well this team performs. I think were in for a surprise season this year.
Disagree totally
This team is no doubt better than last year. Hank automatically puts us between the 7, 8, 9, 10, 11 seeds. Frolov is going to spark an already good powerplay. His size helps us in front. Staal & Girardi should atleast produce last years numbers. Del zottos defense will be better. Gilroy hopefully will get used to playing a full season. Cally and Dubi should show us what there reallly made of this year in terms of scoring 20-25goals is ok by me. drury and avery who knows? and anisimov will get better.
by louielounz1 on Jul 30, 2010 3:04 PM EDT via mobile reply actions
Everyone progresses and no one regresses, right? Sorry, but it rarely works that way.
The Rangers have the potential to:
a) be better than last year
b) be the same as last year
c) be worse than last year.
Anyone of the above is possible, because nothing is a given. Gilroy could suck. Del Zotto could take a step backward. Frolov’s decline could continue. Christensen could prove why he’s a journeyman. Gaborik could shoot 8.2% like he did in 03-04. Just a couple of weeks ago everyone was pretty down on this upcoming season. Now, we sign Frolov and demote Redden and people are talking about a top 3 seed? Sorry, but Frolov’s not that good and Redden wasn’t that bad.
Gabby is more likely to get hurt than shoot 8%. As for this whole sky is falling scenario: I don’t buy it. See you make good points but forgot one guy. Lundvquist. Our success rides on his shoulders. Hey im not going to blow smoke up anyones asses and say were a top 3 seed but to say we arent better than last year is a joke. Prust of all people helped the team tremendously on the fourth line. I dont get the negativity from some of you guys. Lets put it to rest and look forward to the season, hey you never know.
by louielounz1 on Jul 30, 2010 3:37 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions
Agree with louie
I have a feeling as well that this team will surprise people, and end up in the 7 or 8 seed. One real positive from the end of last season that people haven’t mentioned (as far as I know, I haven’t read every single post) is Prust showed real signs of becoming a contributor on offense, not just a tough guy.
And think how much time Torts gave Higgins (and to a lesser extent Kotalik) most of last season, and how totally inept they were.
Hell, if Redden goes down, the kids get a chance to develop, and Hank and Gabby stay healthy, I’m happy.
Prust has a very underrated offensive game. Like Avery, he’s been used as an agitator/grinder. His wrist shot looks clean, and fairly accurate.
Prust could put up 15 goals on the third line with Anisimov, those two clicked the same way Prospal and Gaborik did, albeit to a lesser extent. Not saying I’m expecting 15 goals from this guy, I’m saying we should give this guy a chance to develop, reminds me of Callahan in a lot of ways.
At least theres a good balance........
of negative and positve predictions. I’m going with the postive,our young guys will only get better,MDZ?,,you just know he’s gonna kick ass,AA too.Frolov will be motivated (contract) and prolly have more fun in NYC.Plus we’ve gotten rid of some dead weight,or IMO dead weight,higgins,jokinen hopefully redden(beleive it when i see it) and boyle.
I think its fun to speculate,but theres no way anyone knows how this season’s gonna turn out. I heard some guys saying we’re the same team just some different names,I disagree, i think this years team will be alot different,bigger.tougher,younger and more motivated,alot of what we were missing last year.
Then again thats just my opinion,and in my opinion,my opinion is always right.
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