X Factors For 2010: Michael Del Zotto Edition
Today we will continue with out next edition of "X Factors For 2010." We have already covered Sean Aver and his aggressive role on the team and we have also looked into Martin Biron's role as a backup goaltender. Today we look at Michael Del Zotto.
Del Zotto, who jumped right from the OHL to the New York Rangers as a 19-year-old last year, was immediately thrust into a primary role on the team. John Tortorella -- who was wildly impressed with Del Zotto's performance in camp -- had him quarterbacking the power play from game one. Del Zotto (did I mention he's only 19?) flourished in the role as a rookie, scoring 9 goals and adding 28 assists for 37 points.
Of those 37 points, 22 of them were scored on the power play; with Del Zotto notching 4 goals and 18 assists on the man advantage. To put that into perspective Dan Girardi and Michal Rozsival both had 1 goal and 3 assists on the power play. Matt Gilroy notched 3 assists and Wade Redden put up 1 assist with the man advantage. Marc Staal was the only defenseman not to record a point on the man advantage this year.
To prove Del Zotto’s worth even more let’s look at the entire team’s power play points. Marian Gaborik lead the team in power play points with 26 (14 goals and 12 assists), big surprise right? What may actually surprise you is that Del Zotto was second on the team in power play points with his 22. Only Ryan Callahan (20 points) and Vaclav Prospal (19 points) were anywhere near Del Zotto and Gaborik. Brandon Dubinsky was the only other Ranger with double figure power play points (he had 10) on the season.
So you can probably see why Del Zotto is an X factor. In his rookie year -- granted it was on an offensively starved team -- he was second on the team in power play scoring. In total season stats his 37 points was enough to tie for 4th on the team with Ryan Callahan -- I’m not counting Olli Jokinen here because he spent most of his time with the Calgary Flames.
The Rangers are probably expecting (as they should) an increase in his point production this year. Although he went through a goal-scoring slump in the middle of the season, his offensive play picked up again toward the end of the year. If Tortorella gives Del Zotto the same amount of power play time he did last year -- and there’s no reason to assume that he wont -- his numbers should increase.
It wouldn’t be crazy to assume that Del Zotto could reach 50 points this year (he has the talent) but I don’t know how likely it will be. Having Alexander Frolov should help in this department quit a bit. Frolov and Gaborik on the same power play unit can spell disaster for other teams, especially if Del Zotto (who has some amazing vision) is given some space.
The other side of Del Zotto being an X factor is his defense. Obviously critics of Del Zotto will point to his -20 on the season as being the main reason why he isn’t a top defenseman, but I think that argument is a bit overblown. Del Zotto played with Rozsival for most of the season, and we all know that Rozsival didn’t start playing good hockey until the tail end of the season (last 20 games or so).
Del Zotto was thrown into a vital role for the team, averaging 19 minutes a night. It wasn’t a secret that he was gassed by the Olympic Break, and that he tired significantly towards the end of the season. That helped contribute to his bad plus minus ranking. But again, and I can’t stress this enough, that was expected for a 19-year-old. One of the biggest adjustments between guys who go from the OHL and the AHL (something that Evgeny Grachev went through last year) is getting used to playing 82 games in the regular season, and then maybe even more games if their team makes the playoffs.
It works the same way in the NHL, except you’re playing again top end talent. So when you get tired and make a mistake the likelihood of you "paying for it" increases dramatically. This is where I truly believe that we will see the most increase in Del Zotto’s overall play.
The other aspect that Del Zotto brings to the table is his heavy hitting. He proved throughout the season that he is a consistent hard hitter, and multiple times this year he laid some serious lumber on guys. I have embedded an MSG video for you to all view and enjoy, it’s pretty cool.
Del Zotto also brings some toughness to the table. He was one of the few defenseman to protect Henrik Lundqvist from the various amounts of liberties that other teams took against him. Check out this video of Del Zotto taking care of Ilya Kovalchuk after he took an extra smack at Lundqvist.
In the end there are a ton of different aspects that Del Zotto brings to the table. Where he improves and where he levels will be a good indication of the type of player that he is evolving into. But take this season with a grain of salt as well because even though it will be his second NHL season he will be 20-years-old when the season is over. He's still going to be raw and developing.
So what do you all think? The floor is yours.
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Thanks
watching kovy get man handled my MDZ made my morning!!
by inHANKweTruST on Aug 30, 2010 8:01 AM EDT via mobile reply actions
I'm disappointed Joe
Del Zotto played with Rozsival for most of the season, and we all know that Rozsival didn’t start playing good hockey until the tail end of the season (last 20 games or so).
We also all know that with Rozsival, Del Zotto was +5 (with a little bit of luck) With Girardi, he was -18 (though a little bit unlucky). Also, he was only -2 post-Olympics, so I don’t think fatigue contributed to that big number.
He needs to shoot more, both at evens and on the PP. After the inital burst of PP success, you could see teams backing off of him and taking away the pass, daring him to shoot, and he always seemed hesitant. As he develops, that’s the one thing I want to see.
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It's also ridiculously unfair
to list the totals for each defenceman on the power play without pointing out the amount of time each was granted there.
To put that into perspective Dan Girardi and Michal Rozsival both had 1 goal and 3 assists on the power play. Matt Gilroy notched 3 assists and Wade Redden put up1 assist with the man advantage. Marc Staal was the only defenseman not to record a point on the man advantage this year.
Sure there’s a reason why Del Zotto received the majority of the minutes, but to just say that he garnered 22 points versus the 4 of Rozsival and Girardi isn’t telling the whole story. Del Zotto should have scored much more power play points than the rest of the defence; he received more than eleven times as much power play time as Girardi and almost twice as much as Rozsival.
Eh.
If you ignore the 4 in 26 minutes (completely unsustainable 9.12 p/60), MDZ still lead the team in P/60 on the PP by a wide margin. In the previous two years with plenty of PP time, Girardi didn’t crack 3 p/60, whereas MDZ was close to 4 this year.
That kind of breakdown isn’t/wasn’t necessary because it just obscures the main point, MDZ’s our best offensive D-man and best PP QB, and there’s really nobody close.
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by George E. Ays on Aug 30, 2010 10:02 AM EDT up reply actions
whoops…4 in 26 by Girardi.
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by George E. Ays on Aug 30, 2010 10:02 AM EDT up reply actions
Sure Girardi didn't crack 3 PP P/60
And his sample size is laughably small, but it’s still not an apples to apples comparison. And you know that. Even if Girardi is below 3 P/60 and MDZ is closer to 4, the totals would be more comparable if the TOI was anywhere near close.
Including TOI doesn’t obscure the point that MDZ is our best offensive defenceman. It just shows more accurately how MDZ is our best scoring D-man. Comparing 22 points to 4 points is an exaggeration of the difference between a good offensive d-man and a mediocre one; MDZ is not 5 times more prolific at scoring than Girardi, though it sure would be nice if he was. Even the Mike Greens of the world are not 5 times more prolific than the average guys.
It was more of a
“this is what the others guys have done” example. Like I said above Del Zotto was quarterbacking the power play from the get go, so he was getting more time than the other guys.
The comparison that I wanted to make, was that as a 19 year old, his power play numbers were impressive. I agree with Smurf, that his will to shoot dissipated as the season ran on.
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by Joe Fortunato on Aug 30, 2010 10:32 AM EDT up reply actions
Girardi 22 pp points in 3 years and 446.5 minutes.
MDZ 22 pp points in 1 year and 306.27 minutes.
That’s fairly apple-like. Could Girardi have produced this year with 300 PP minutes? Most likely, but it still wouldn’t have been to the level of MDZ.
And while the ~5 points difference between the two rates might seem comparable, if you assume that difference comes at the same rate they normally accumulate points (both are around .65 points for every GFON for the PP), that’s a difference of about 7-8 PPGs for the team. That’s the difference between where they were 18.3% (13th) to 15.9% (27th).
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by George E. Ays on Aug 30, 2010 10:36 AM EDT up reply actions
Just not that informative
I think it’s pretty trivial to show that MDZ is the Rangers best offensive D-man. It’s nice to see how far in front he is of everyone else, but really are we learning anything new? Not really.
What I want to know is how much room for improvement on the PP there really is? What rate do the top PP D-men score at? That is the comparison that is most meaningful, in my opinion.
A quick look at the traditional stats show even the top PP D-men average in the mid 30s for PP points. So, MDZ is doing quite well and there isn’t a ton of room to improve. However, MDZ’s even strength scoring numbers are pretty poor. I would like to see him increase those number, much more than worry about the PP which he’s already doing exceptionally well (he was almost top 10 in PP points for a D-man last year).
There you go
Much more apple-y. Tasty and nutritious.
Net 7-8 goals. Much more informative than context-less totals.
Start of something good?
Hopefully, he’s the first in a solid string of prospects, both on D and up front, that will bring this team back to being a contender for the Cup and not just the playoffs.
Personally, I would like to Del Zotto and Staal play together this season. They could be like a Leetch/Beukeboom pairing. Only problem is they’re both left handed shooters.
http://thehockeysuit.blogspot.com/
I’d be interested in seeing that also, but our real leetch-buek pairing will be if the terminator pans out and gets time with mdz
by BronxBeliever on Aug 30, 2010 11:51 AM EDT up reply actions
Brashear
I’m pretty sure Brashear isn’t in that photo above. I mean, I can’t see jersey numbers, but let’s just call it a hunch.
Its Lisin.
Anyone know what his deal is? Not signed anywhere i presume.
The Rangers didn't qualify an offer
so hes a RFA who can sign anywhere, and the team doesn’t have to give compensation. So he’s technically a UFA.
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by Joe Fortunato on Aug 30, 2010 7:26 PM EDT up reply actions
MDZ
loved this draft pick and was happy he was on the team last year
he could be one the best players on the team for a long time
has alot of talent and glad to have him

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