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New York Rangers Need To Pick Up Their Play

The New York Rangers season is seven games old, and yet somehow they have eight points from those seven games; a solid start considering all of them were on the road. The problem in my mind? They maybe deserved about two of those points over that stretch. I went in search of numbers that would maybe change my mind, but unfortunately I found very few of those. The public skate session needs to end.

I'm not going to bore anyone that doesn't want to listen, so I'm going to give you a chart, two links, and the facts. First the chart, because its easy and simple to read and pretty much explains why I'm writing my first little do-da here in months:

Screenshot20111025at819_medium

This chart says two obvious things. One of them is very simple: Henrik Lundqvist has started the season in Vezina-esque form and Martin Biron did a fine job in Winnipeg Monday night. The second is obvious as well, but can't be explained in a single sentence.

Click through if you're not bored yet.

Star-divide

The link to go with the chart is here. The second thing the chart says about the Rangers is this: they're not shooting (let alone scoring) and they're giving up a decent amount of shots. That's not how you (in general) win hockey games. The worst part about this chart is the Rangers shooting percentage, ranking 9th best in the league with their paltry 8 goals in 7 games; oh how nice of lady luck to get the Blueshirts through the road trip from hell. No really, how nice of her, because that shooting percentage wont last if the amount of shots doesn't rise.

But not everyone can be playing this horrible, right? Here's the second link, with my favorite advanced metrics for individual players. I just want to say two things about this link. First off, PDO measures a combination of shooting and save percentage when a player is on the ice. Without over-explaining, the average is always 1000, and anything really low or really high probably means bad or good luck is involved. 10/22 NYR players are above a 1025 PDO currently; and that's high for 82 games (read: players have gotten lucky).

 Secondly, on an individual level, here are some thoughts:

  • Artem Anisimov has been this teams best skater thus far (even the non-numbers folk should agree with this for the most part).
  • Wojtek Wolski isn't getting a fair shake from John Tortorella. (shocker)
  • Michael Del Zotto has played relatively well.
  • Brad Richards and Marian Gaborik have been a bit sheltered thus far.
  • Derek Stepan, while holding his own on the first line, is nowhere near as effective (points-wise) as he could be with regular third-line minutes.

I've already written more than I've wanted; so if anyone wants me to explain myself just ask in the comments and I'll get to them when I have a moment. Otherwise I'll leave you with this: I really do look for the positives, I don't like being negative, but the picture this Ranger team has painted so far hasn't been a good one.

If they don't wake up Thursday night against the Toronto Maple Leafs, whose numbers are just a bit better (not being sarcastic) than the Rangers, I'll put a strong bet down that we will hear boo's in the third period (unless lady luck snuck onto the plane back from Winnipeg).

Plus, I'm getting sick to my stomach not hating the Buffalo Sabres every time I watch them (for my buddy "Hawk" - you degenerate).

[Note by Rob L, 10/26/11 9:55 AM EDT ]: Original article name was "Public Skate Needs to End" - rankings accurate as of ~ 7 PM EST 10/25

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Artem Anisimov has been this teams best skater thus far (even the non-numbers folk should agree with this for the most part).

Yeah, good luck with that argument. He’s been much better than people are giving him credit for, but I’m not sure even I’d agree with that, let alone the ‘watch the game’ contingency.

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by George E. Ays on Oct 26, 2011 10:15 AM EDT reply actions  

Quiet good

He’s been quiet good – doing his job to not get scored on (seeing as he’s playing top QualComp for the team Centers). While more is needed, that makes him the best skater so far in my mind.

by Rob L on Oct 26, 2011 10:38 AM EDT up reply actions  

Depends which QC you use. I prefer Corsi Rel QoC, especially this early. Goaltending effects are too strong on the sample for regular QC this early.

Blueshirt Banter - Where Rangers' Fans Matter
Tracking the Rangers - Numbers don't lie. They just don't agree with you.
Twitter: RangerSmurf

by George E. Ays on Oct 26, 2011 10:44 AM EDT up reply actions  

True

Goalie effects aside though, QualComp (in my mind) more effectively shows the matchups because when you mix in the fact that we do watch the games as well we can logically say that AA is the second line center matching up against the top competition regularly.

Also, my thought on Corsi Rel QoC is that Gaborik (who is presumably “better/more talented” than AA) is doing better against a lower QualComp – this makes logical sense.

by Rob L on Oct 26, 2011 10:50 AM EDT up reply actions  

Personally

I don’t always calculate stats, but when I do I prefer Corsi Rel QoC. Stay analytic my friends.

Follow me on twitter @nyybrandonc

Writer/Editor for Pinstripe Alley, Blueshirt Banter

"No matter what I talk about, I always get back to baseball."

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by Brandon C. on Oct 26, 2011 10:51 AM EDT up reply actions  

Haha! Love the commercials.

Follow me on twitter @nyybrandonc

Writer/Editor for Pinstripe Alley, Blueshirt Banter

"No matter what I talk about, I always get back to baseball."

"Every day is a great day for hockey."

by Brandon C. on Oct 26, 2011 12:50 PM EDT up reply actions  

how many minutes has he been averaging?

I remember being slightly confused when he was skating on the fourth line—perhaps Torts is a member of the “watch the game” contingency? He would be.

by Town on Oct 26, 2011 10:43 AM EDT up reply actions  

At evens, 11.40 per 60, 8th among the forwards.

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Tracking the Rangers - Numbers don't lie. They just don't agree with you.
Twitter: RangerSmurf

by George E. Ays on Oct 26, 2011 10:47 AM EDT up reply actions  

The figure George gave you was even strength

In total he’s averaging 15 minutes a night.

Blueshirt Banter: Covering the New York Rangers the only NHL team with three home arenas.

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by Joe Fortunato on Oct 26, 2011 11:32 AM EDT up reply actions  

It’s just blatantly obvious to me that Torts’ hates Wolski and blames AA for all of Cally and Dubi’s faults.

It’s completely unfair to put AA on the 4th line at this point.

Torts’ frustrates me to no end sometimes.

"Mr. Madison, what you've just said is one of the most insanely idiotic things I have ever heard. At no point in your rambling, incoherent response were you even close to anything that could be considered a rational thought. Everyone in this room is now dumber for having listened to it. I award you no points, and may God have mercy on your soul."

LET'S GO RANGERS!!!

by Moshe52792 on Oct 26, 2011 2:52 PM EDT reply actions  

I'm just fed up with how Torts' is putting the faults on the team on a few players, rather than blaming his "core" players.

"Mr. Madison, what you've just said is one of the most insanely idiotic things I have ever heard. At no point in your rambling, incoherent response were you even close to anything that could be considered a rational thought. Everyone in this room is now dumber for having listened to it. I award you no points, and may God have mercy on your soul."

LET'S GO RANGERS!!!

by Moshe52792 on Oct 26, 2011 2:54 PM EDT reply actions  

Boos

If I hear booing tomorrow night I’m gonna lose it. No real NYR fan can boo this team after 7 games. Oh, wait. There aren’t real NYR fans at the games anymore. Never mind.

by ryanloral on Oct 26, 2011 5:10 PM EDT reply actions  

what?

Real fans are allowed to boo if their team isn’t performing, or shooting on the powerplay.

"Mr. Madison, what you've just said is one of the most insanely idiotic things I have ever heard. At no point in your rambling, incoherent response were you even close to anything that could be considered a rational thought. Everyone in this room is now dumber for having listened to it. I award you no points, and may God have mercy on your soul."

LET'S GO RANGERS!!!

by Moshe52792 on Oct 26, 2011 6:24 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah, you’re probably a “fan” who would boo them during the first game of the season if they didn’t shoot the puck, eh?

by ryanloral on Oct 26, 2011 6:26 PM EDT up reply actions  

yeah, you caught me.

"Mr. Madison, what you've just said is one of the most insanely idiotic things I have ever heard. At no point in your rambling, incoherent response were you even close to anything that could be considered a rational thought. Everyone in this room is now dumber for having listened to it. I award you no points, and may God have mercy on your soul."

LET'S GO RANGERS!!!

by Moshe52792 on Oct 26, 2011 8:54 PM EDT up reply actions  

The play has not been good

and if the team is struggling they are going to get booed…plain and simple

"Don't look now, but there's one too many people in this room and I think it's you." Groucho Marx

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A lot of smoke and desperate clawing at the door. It wouldn’t work. It would just be a big, hot mess." -Dig Deep

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by Kevin Power on Oct 26, 2011 7:40 PM EDT up reply actions  

If they don’t wake up Thursday night against the Toronto Maple Leafs, whose numbers are just a bit better (not being sarcastic) than the Rangers, I’ll put a strong bet down that we will hear boo’s in the third period (unless lady luck snuck onto the plane back from Winnipeg).

Well you nailed this one :)

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by poploser on Oct 28, 2011 9:30 AM EDT reply actions  

I almost reposted as a fanshot

But I’ll just let it be. This situation is unreal.

by Rob L on Oct 28, 2011 5:39 PM EDT up reply actions  

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