New York Rangers Team Metrics Update: Smoke and Mirrors

are these numbers and ranks cumulative or do they only account for the period since the last post?

Also, we must be a nightmare for opposing goalies SV%’s.

I guess we don’t shoot unless we think it’s going to go in haha

Good thing wins and losses are the only numbers that mean anything

you guys are being very ignorant about it..yes its not a perfect science but what is? if i had to go with a team to win a game on either your analysis (basically a wild guess with not much evidence backing it up) or George and Rob’s shot metrics and so forth, im going with the evidence that is usually backed up with credible information. that being said, i still think the rangers look better, they are improving but definitely need to shoot a lot more.

I don’t want my worries to come true – I hope the Rangers stay as one of the luckiest teams and continue winning, alls I’m saying is there is information out there that indicates the Rangers will probably hit a skid eventually, so I won’t be SHOCKED when (or if, but its more when in my mind) this happens.

If they’d just shoot more this chart would begin to balance out better.

More shots = more goals, so Sht% would adjust (minus hot goalie situations)

More shots =(generally) less SA/60

I feel like some of our really bad games, shots wise, sort of tilts this chart. 16 shots in one game will skew it, nevermind having I think 3 sub-20 shot games.

Altho multiple low shot games means it’s less of a “skew” and more of a trend I guess

Regardless, more pucks on net.

is that we only have 1 player in the top 40 for points on the season (Gaborik). Girardi and McDonaugh are on the top 40 for defense (Hits) and (+-), which is awesome. This means that if Gabbo goes down, where is the scoring going to come from? Our competition – Philly, Wash, Pitt, Buff, have multiple players in the top 40, which represents some offensive depth. I was hoping with the addition of Richards, our offense would be on fire.

Tonight should be interesting (all data here on out 5v5), because the Islanders are taking a below average amount of shots but have been shooting the lights out at with the 2nd best S% in the league. Couple this with giving up more shots than the Rangers and average goaltending and I’m thinking this game should be wide open.

NYR needs to stay out of the box though, as the Islanders PP appears to be much, much better than the Rangers PP.

But anyway to see how our numbers from 08-09 match up to this season. That team is all I keep thinking of watching those guys.

I appreciate seeing the stats… they are certainly key. It shows us where the holes are, and what we need to improve. It doesn’t predict the future, but of course, if we don’t start getting more shots, we won’t perform well throughout the entire season.

One thing the stats don’t factor in though, is the “find a way to win” attitude of the team, that Torts preaches so loudly. This is the type of team that can win when out-shot, and that’s a positive thing… but they need to get more shots consistently, in order to play a more complete game. Every game is a unique event, and its possible to have low shot totals, but still be successful.

Like Rob said above, you can’t go to far in either direction (stats vs. anti-stats), because thats ignorant – but we have to recognize the importance these indicators, because they are areas to improve this teams game.

I can say these stats are useful…. hot streaks end when they’re unsustainable like this. Leafs were better in the standings than they actually were and it has started to come crashing down to reality.

When and if it does, these are things you’ll be able to point at to see why it’s impossible to keep up a 20% team shooting % or .950 sv% indefinitely.

However until that happens…. enjoy the ride. 7 wins in a row is huge.

http://puckprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=1175