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Around SBN: Devils Beat Rangers, Head To Stanley Cup Finals

Scoring Chances for Playoff Game 5 vs Washington

PHILADELPHIA , PA - APRIL 23: Members of the Washington Capitals and the New York Rangers take part in the series ending handshake as the Capitals defeated the Rangers 3-1 in Game Five of the Eastern Conference Quarterfinals during the 2011 NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs at the Verizon Center on April 23, 2011 in Washington, DC.  (Photo by Len Redkoles/Getty Images)

The season finale ended with the Washington Capitals stifling the New York Rangers offense once again.  The Rangers had a 31:32 stretch in the game without a scoring chance at even strength, and for the 7th and 8th times in the series, they were held to 2 or fewer chances in a period.  For comparison, that happened only 33/240 tracked periods during the regular season.  Credit the Capitals' defense, blame the Rangers' offense.  Either way, the series ended in part because of those numbers.

Here's the head to head for Game 5:

Sc30115_medium

Score effects come strongly into play here, as the Rangers only had chances by Brian Boyle and Wojtek Wolski in the first two periods. Otherwise, the game turned out fairly even, with only the Cap's third defensive pair really having a consistent edge across the matchups.  As normal, the rest of the data is after the jump.

 

Star-divide

 

NYR Chance Assist COG WSH Chance Assist COG
Anisimov 1 0 1 Backstrom 0 1 0
Boyle 2 0 2 Carlson 1 0 1
Christensen 2 0 2 Chimera 1 0 1
Gaborik 1 0 1 Fehr 1 0 0
Prospal 0 1 0 Green 2 0 0
Sauer 0 1 0 Hannan 0 1 0
Wolski 2 0 2 Johansson 0 3 0
        Laich 1 0 0
        Ovechkin 3 3 3
        Semin 3 2 2
        Sturm 1 1 1
  8 2 8   13 11 8

The Capitals' stars made sure there would be no Game 6 this time around.  Alex Ovechkin, Alexander Semin, and Mike Green accounted for 8/13 chances (not incl. Green's goal), and all 3 goals.  Meanwhile, the Rangers got chances from their enigmas, while getting little to nothing from the several 20 goal scorers on the team.

  WSH NYR
Transition 7 (2) 5
Zone Pressure 6 3 (1)
Dzone Turnover 0 0
Off. Faceoffs 0 0
  WSH NYR
Zone 1 6 (2) 2 (1)
Zone 2 3 0
Zone 3 4 3
Zone 4 0 3

It's almost like a broken record.  The Caps got out in transition, got next to Henrik Lundqvist, and converted their chances.  The Rangers were kept to the outside, and their forecheck, while strong at times, generated no shots.  WIth the exception of a few periods, this was the trend all series.  I could go on, but I'll save that for the series summary later this week.  For now, we have an entire offseason to talk about how the Rangers can improve.

Here's the raw data:

Scoring Chances for NHL Game Number 30115

Team Period Time Note NYR Opponent
NYR 1 19:45 Boyle 5 8 16 18 22 30 4 8 19 21 23 30 5v5
WSH 1 19:25 Ovechkin 5 8 16 18 22 30 4 8 19 21 23 30 5v5
WSH 1 14:10 Green, Ovechkin 5 17 18 23 30 8 21 28 30 44 52 4v5
WSH 1 14:04 Green, Ovechkin 5 17 18 23 30 8 21 28 30 44 52 4v5
WSH 1 10:41 Ovechkin, Backstrom 8 16 22 27 30 38 8 19 21 23 30 52 5v5
WSH 1 7:41 Laich, Ovechkin 10 17 18 19 30 97 4 8 19 21 23 30 5v5
WSH 1 3:26 Semin, Sturm MS 8 16 22 27 30 97 4 18 23 28 30 44 5v5
WSH 1 2:46 Fehr, Johansson MS 18 20 23 26 28 30 4 16 23 25 30 90 5v5
NYR 1 0:10 Wolski, Sauer 21 27 30 38 42 86 15 23 25 30 55 90 5v5
WSH 2 17:52 Sturm, Semin 10 20 21 27 30 38 18 23 28 30 55 90 5v5
WSH 2 12:57 Ovechkin, Hannan Goal 5 17 18 19 30 86 8 19 21 23 30 55 5v5
WSH 2 10:20 Carlson, Semin 21 27 30 38 42 18 27 28 30 44 74 4v5
NYR 2 8:55 Christensen 19 20 26 28 30 86 15 21 23 30 55 5v4
WSH 3 10:32 Chimera, Johansson 5 18 19 26 30 42 16 23 25 30 55 90 5v5
NYR 3 8:38 Boyle 5 16 18 22 30 86 8 18 19 23 27 30 5v5
WSH 3 7:51 Semin 17 22 27 30 38 86 25 28 30 44 55 74 5v5
NYR 3 7:42 Anisimov 17 19 27 30 38 42 25 28 30 44 55 74 5v5
NYR 3 6:34 Christensen 5 16 18 21 26 30 8 19 21 27 30 74 5v5
NYR 3 4:16 Gaborik, Prospal 5 10 18 20 22 30 8 21 27 30 44 55 5v5
WSH 3 3:38 Semin, Johansson Goal 5 18 21 26 30 86 18 23 28 30 55 90 5v5
NYR 3 0:32 Wolski Goal 16 19 26 28 42 86 4 21 23 26 30 90 5v5
# Player EV PP SH
5 D. GIRARDI 15:24 4 4 0:06 0 0 1:20 0 2
8 B. PRUST 11:05 1 3 0:08 0 0 0:55 0 0
10 M. GABORIK 17:07 1 2 2:42 0 0 0:35 0 0
16 S. AVERY 12:33 4 3 0:08 0 0 0:00 0 0
17 B. DUBINSKY 14:55 1 3 2:03 0 0 1:23 0 2
18 M. STAAL 20:01 4 6 0:14 0 0 2:36 0 2
19 R. FEDOTENKO 15:43 2 3 0:54 1 0 1:15 0 0
20 V. PROSPAL 12:53 1 2 1:43 1 0 0:00 0 0
21 D. STEPAN 15:45 2 2 0:30 0 0 1:46 0 1
22 B. BOYLE 14:56 3 4 2:19 0 0 2:12 0 0
23 C. DRURY 5:58 0 1 0:00 0 0 0:51 0 2
26 E. CHRISTENSEN 11:48 2 3 1:49 1 0 0:35 0 0
27 R. MCDONAGH 17:47 2 4 0:00 0 0 1:38 0 1
28 B. MCCABE 14:47 1 1 3:46 1 0 0:03 0 0
30 H. LUNDQVIST 48:32 6 10 4:00 1 0 4:17 0 3
38 M. SAUER 18:20 2 3 0:00 0 0 2:37 0 1
42 A. ANISIMOV 10:57 3 1 0:00 0 0 1:42 0 1
86 W. WOLSKI 14:45 3 3 3:38 1 0 0:00 0 0
97 M. GILROY 13:50 0 2 0:00 0 0 0:20 0 0
Period Totals EV PP 5v3 PP SH 5v3 SH
1 2 7 2 5 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0
2 1 3 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
3 5 3 5 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Totals 8 13 7 10 1 0 0 0 0 3 0 0

Comment 13 comments  |  1 recs  | 

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Gonna miss you.

"Shots aren't the important thing. Scoring chances are way more important than shots." - Bruce Boudreau

See my work on WaPo's Capitals Insider, ESPN Insider and Russian Machine Never Breaks (RMNB).
Follow me on Twitter @ngreenberg
I also log the Caps scoring chances for 2010-11. The summary spreadsheet is posted on Google Docs.

by NGreenberg on Apr 25, 2011 1:06 PM EDT reply actions   1 recs

One of the most disappointing aspects of the series is Dubinsky’s terrible performance in all three games in Washington. He was practially invisible. But judging from the above, he had plenty of company.

"To everybody else we're underdogs, but we go in thinking we can handle any team in the NHL."
Brandon Prust, #8, New York Rangers

by Joe1969 on Apr 25, 2011 1:38 PM EDT reply actions  

Despite ripping him alot after the first two games, when the home/road split looks like that, I’m inclined to credit the Caps’ coaching staff for being able to get the matchups and the defense for shutting him down.

Blueshirt Banter - Where Rangers' Fans Matter
Tracking the Rangers - Numbers don't lie. They just don't agree with you.
Twitter: RangerSmurf

by George E. Ays on Apr 25, 2011 1:56 PM EDT up reply actions  

George, did you look at H2H ice time? If so, what did it look like. It’s tough to get a sense of how much the lines/pairs matched up looking at the SC H2H. If not, don’t worry about it; just curiosity more than anything else.

by NTB on Apr 25, 2011 2:04 PM EDT up reply actions  

I had plans to do it for each game, but the holidays screwed me a little bit time-wise. I’m going to compile the whole series, I’ll include the H2H time there.

If you’re curious before that, here’s the script (which gives ES time only). You just have to enter the game numbers, which are 30111, 30112, 30113, 30114, and 30115.

Blueshirt Banter - Where Rangers' Fans Matter
Tracking the Rangers - Numbers don't lie. They just don't agree with you.
Twitter: RangerSmurf

by George E. Ays on Apr 25, 2011 2:10 PM EDT up reply actions  

H2H TOI and Corsi (though for some reason I keep missing one or two Corsi events per game…oh well).

My blog and Twitter, featuring coverage of the most frustrating team in the NHL
If you don't know how to use Timeonice, read this.
Behindthenet quick link to QoC/QoT/Corsi/PDO/Zonestarts
"Numbers don't lie, they just don't agree with you"--George E. Ays
If I reference a lot of stats, just assume I haven't seen anything to contradict or invalidate them.

by red army line on Apr 25, 2011 5:54 PM EDT up reply actions  

So I’m reading that right:

The white is the TOI
N = number of events
@ # = the differential

Correct?

Blueshirt Banter - Where Rangers' Fans Matter
Tracking the Rangers - Numbers don't lie. They just don't agree with you.
Twitter: RangerSmurf

by George E. Ays on Apr 25, 2011 6:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yep.

My blog and Twitter, featuring coverage of the most frustrating team in the NHL
If you don't know how to use Timeonice, read this.
Behindthenet quick link to QoC/QoT/Corsi/PDO/Zonestarts
"Numbers don't lie, they just don't agree with you"--George E. Ays
If I reference a lot of stats, just assume I haven't seen anything to contradict or invalidate them.

by red army line on Apr 26, 2011 4:46 AM EDT up reply actions  

(and from a Caps perspective, green is out-Corsi’ing, yellow is +/- = 0, red is getting out-Corsi’d)

My blog and Twitter, featuring coverage of the most frustrating team in the NHL
If you don't know how to use Timeonice, read this.
Behindthenet quick link to QoC/QoT/Corsi/PDO/Zonestarts
"Numbers don't lie, they just don't agree with you"--George E. Ays
If I reference a lot of stats, just assume I haven't seen anything to contradict or invalidate them.

by red army line on Apr 26, 2011 4:47 AM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah, he also said today the adjustment to going back to center was more difficult than he anticipated.

"To everybody else we're underdogs, but we go in thinking we can handle any team in the NHL."
Brandon Prust, #8, New York Rangers

by Joe1969 on Apr 25, 2011 3:53 PM EDT up reply actions  

Atleast Dubi showed up EVENTUALLY

There’s other guys we can’t say the same for. Guys making a good chunk more then Dubi is.

by BuckarooClub on Apr 25, 2011 11:04 PM EDT up reply actions  

You've hooked me

This season like never before I’ve gotten deeper into the numbers in hockey stats. George, you do a tremendous job in presenting and explaining the numbers. Thanks for tweeking this hockey stat geek and I look forward to next season when more of those numbers hopefully tilt in the Blueshirts favor.

Manning lobs it, Burress alone, touchdown New York!
For the empty net, Mark Messier... do you believe it?! Do you believe it?! He said we will win game 6 - he has just picked up the hat trick!

by Broheem NJ on Apr 25, 2011 10:40 PM EDT reply actions  

It is my aim to bother you on twitter to explain this better to me. So that I can enjoy and understand advanced statistics for the entirety of next season.

@DigDeepNYR
"I like a man who grins when he fights." -Sir Winston Churchill
"It's just pain." -Brandon Prust | "In Prust we Trust."

Blueshirt Banter

by Dig Deep on Apr 29, 2011 3:50 PM EDT reply actions  

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