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New York Rangers Analysis: Looking At Boyle's Contract, Is Dubinsky Next?

NEW YORK, NY - APRIL 17: (L-R) Goalie Henrik Lundqvist #30 and Brian Boyle #22 of the New York Rangers celebrate after the Rangers won 3-2 against the Washington Capitals in Game Three of the Eastern Conference Quarterfinals during the 2011 NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs at Madison Square Garden on April 17, 2011 in New York City.  (Photo by Bruce Bennett/Getty Images)

Official press release on the Boyle signing below.

After signing Brad Richards, Glen Sather said he fully expected to sign all of his RFA's over the next few weeks. So far he has taken care of three of the five, including getting Artmen Anisimov under contract, who was open to receiving an offer sheet. 

Yesterday the New York Rangers agreed to terms with Brian Boyle, signing the 20-goal scorer to a three-year $5.1 million ($1.7 million cap hit) contract.  

I had earlier speculated that Boyle might be one of the five to head to arbitration, since he had only scored twelve goals in his NHL career heading into last season. But Sather and Boyle found some common ground and agreed to a relatively fair contract. You had to expect Boyle to get a massive raise for his production last year, and you also could have expected the security of a longer deal because of it as well. 

The contract is a little bit of a risk. If Boyle reverts back to his 2009-2010 form (four goals and two assists in 71 games) then three years at $1.7 million is a pretty big anchor. It should also be noted that of Boyle's 21 goals and 14 assists, just one goal and two assists came in the final 18 games of the regular season. 

However, if the former 26th-overall draft pick continues to be a 20-goal scorer for the remainder of the pact, the contract is a steal. You take a 20-goal scorer who also brings size and toughness to the table at $1.7 million without blinking an eye, and now it's up to Boyle to continue to improve. 

Join me after the jump for more.

Star-divide

Now that Sather has taken care of the rest he can focus on the big-two, Ryan Callahan and Brandon Dubinsky. With Dubinsky's arbitration hearing looming on July 21st (Callahan's isn't until July 28th) Sather is obviously making it a priority to get him under contract as soon as he can. 

After the holdout two years ago Rangers fans seemed to be most tense about Dubinsky's contract negotiations. Currently, we haven't heard much about the inner-workings of the negotiations, but you would have to think that Sather and Dubinsky's agent are talking daily at this point. 

Remember there can't be a holdout like there was two year's ago, since even if the two sides can't cross the chasm it will be done for them by an arbitration judge. Obviously Dubinsky is looking for a longer deal around $4 million dollars. In Sather's case, he would love to buy out a few of Dubinsky's UFA years as well.

The Rangers are still confident that they can get Dubinsky under contract before his hearing. That would be ideal for both sides, especially since the Rangers don't want to have to go through an arbitration hearing with Dubinsky after what happened two years ago.

But that also doesn't mean that Sather should do everything in his power to avoid arbitration, including dishing out far more money than he intends to. Although that Rangers have around $11 million dollars in cap space to sign both Callahan and Dubinsky, don't forget that if Tim Erixon makes the team (and by all indications he will have a very good shot at it) you need to add $1.75 million to it as well. Plus, Sather wants some wiggle room to work with for the remainder of the season. 

The good news? This will end on July 21st no matter what happens. But obviously the Rangers want to avoid arbitration at all costs. 

Anyway, it should get interesting from this point forward guys. Thoughts?

Brian Boyle official press release:

RANGERS AGREE TO TERMS WITH

FORWARD BRIAN BOYLE

 

New York, July 15, 2011 – New York Rangers President and General Manager Glen Sather announced today that the club has agreed to terms with forward Brian Boyle on a new contract.

Boyle, 26, skated in 82 games with the Rangers last season, registering 21 goals and 14 assists for 35 points, along with 74 penalty minutes.  He established career-highs in goals, assists, points, power play goals (four), power play points (four), and shots on goal (218).  He also established a career-high in games played, as one of only four Rangers to have skated in all 82 games.  Boyle led the Blueshirts in shots on goal, tied for fourth in goals and ranked first on the team and 11th in the NHL with 240 hits.  In addition, he led the Rangers and tied for second in the NHL with a career-high, three shorthanded assists, and tied for second on the team and 11th in the league with a career-high, four shorthanded points.  Boyle reached the 30-point and 20-goal plateaus for the first time in his career with a two-point performance (one goal, one assist) in a 6-0 win at Washington on February 25.  Boyle made his playoff debut on April 13 at Washington, and led the Rangers with 25 shots in five playoff contests.

The 6-7, 244-pounder has skated in 189 career games with the Rangers and Los Angeles Kings, registering 33 goals and 18 assists for 51 points, along with 167 penalty minutes.  Boyle made his Rangers debut on October 2, 2009 at Pittsburgh, and tallied his first point as a Blueshirt with the game-winning goal on October 14, 2009 vs. Los Angeles.  He skated in his 100th career NHL game on March 7, 2010 vs. Buffalo.  In 2007-08, Boyle notched two points (one goal, one assist) in his NHL debut on February 2 at New Jersey, and recorded four goals and five points in eight games with the Kings that season.

The Hingham, Massachusetts native was acquired by the Rangers from the Kings in exchange for a third round selection in the 2010 NHL Entry Draft (Jordan Weal) on July 27, 2009.  He was originally selected as Los Angeles’ first round choice, 26th overall, in the 2003 NHL Entry Draft.

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You said for the rest of the season some wiggle room but doesn’t Reddens cap hit come off when he gets banished back to the minors after camp? But with the rest of the story just like the other three I will definitely breathe a sigh of relief when a deal gets done. The sooner the better and pray it’s a reasonable number so we have something to work with during the summer.

by Mr. Avery to you on Jul 15, 2011 9:14 AM EDT via mobile reply actions  

You can go 10% over the cap until the season begins

So I think that $11 million doesn’t factor the Redden deal or the actual 10% overhaul on the cap either. The two actually cancel each other out in the end.

Blueshirt Banter: Covering the New York Rangers the only NHL team with three home arenas.

"We can trade Lisin for a gun, then hold it to Drury’s head and make him waive the no-movement clause" - XLII

"Tortorelli sounds like a kind of pasta… an unforgiving, stubborn, chewy, flavorless pasta that demands ‘jam’ from other pastas." - Dig Deep

by Joe Fortunato on Jul 15, 2011 9:20 AM EDT up reply actions  

Gotcha totally didn’t think about the 10% over.. Many thanks new Godfather lol

by Mr. Avery to you on Jul 15, 2011 9:24 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

Redden’s cap hit comes off, but it’s only taking up $70k of space on the cap right now. His contract is eating up the entire summer overage, which won’t matter come October 1st.

They can go over the number capgeek is showing despite not having the overage, because the NHL/AHL guys are listed as full season hits, but for the summer only count whatever percentage of days they spent on the NHL roster. I think they have around $1.5m leeway, give or take.

As Joe said, assuming Erixon makes the team, which looks likely right now, the Rangers have $9.416m to sign Duballahan and then decide on adding a 7th. Should be plenty, but there are things they can do to clear up the last of the room, be it shed Christensen, demote MZA for the start of the year, buyout Wolski, whatever it is.

Blueshirt Banter - Where Rangers' Fans Matter
Tracking the Rangers - Numbers don't lie. They just don't agree with you.
Twitter: RangerSmurf

by George E. Ays on Jul 15, 2011 9:22 AM EDT up reply actions  

I really hope we don’t have to get rid of EC/MZA/WW… all three are bad asses when it comes to the shootout and we don’t have much past that.

by one-bar on Jul 15, 2011 2:20 PM EDT up reply actions  

Richards has been solid enough in his career at it, he can certainly replace one.

Blueshirt Banter - Where Rangers' Fans Matter
Tracking the Rangers - Numbers don't lie. They just don't agree with you.
Twitter: RangerSmurf

by George E. Ays on Jul 15, 2011 2:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

agreed

 And not for nothing we definitely have enough solid forwards to give them a year to see if they can’t pick it up during regulation…

by Ranger McJersey on Jul 15, 2011 4:45 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

When dubi and callahan are signed

what the hell are we going to talk about?

by Town on Jul 15, 2011 9:29 AM EDT reply actions  

two months of...

Line combinations and projected stats

by Jarett on Jul 15, 2011 9:33 AM EDT up reply actions  

First two weeks – every defenseman over the age of 28 (not just free agents) and how they would fit on the team.
Next two weeks – all the numerous lineup permutations
Following month – Digger’s favorite color and other topics one person will care about.
After that – Camp Torturella

Season will be here before you know it!

Blueshirt Banter - Where Rangers' Fans Matter
Tracking the Rangers - Numbers don't lie. They just don't agree with you.
Twitter: RangerSmurf

by George E. Ays on Jul 15, 2011 9:33 AM EDT up reply actions  

Hey now!

If it weren’t for Dig, I would have never thought to have stared deeply into Dan Girardi’s eyes.

by OmarLittle on Jul 15, 2011 11:05 AM EDT up reply actions  

Are you suggesting that I have only one fan/friend?

I hope it is you. (bats eyelashes)

@DigDeepNYR
"I like a man who grins when he fights." -Sir Winston Churchill
"It's just pain." -Brandon Prust | "In Prust we Trust."

Blueshirt Banter

by Dig Deep on Jul 21, 2011 12:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

That's easy

Cricket

"Don't look now, but there's one too many people in this room and I think it's you." Groucho Marx

In Prust We Trust

"Kovalev would work with Tortorella like a kitty would work in a microwave.

A lot of smoke and desperate clawing at the door. It wouldn’t work. It would just be a big, hot mess." -Dig Deep

Follow me @8kpower

by Kevin Power on Jul 15, 2011 9:35 AM EDT up reply actions  

Reminisce about Big Ale and FrankieC?

by Gabby the Gutless Sniper on Jul 15, 2011 9:36 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

that could be fun

"Don't look now, but there's one too many people in this room and I think it's you." Groucho Marx

In Prust We Trust

"Kovalev would work with Tortorella like a kitty would work in a microwave.

A lot of smoke and desperate clawing at the door. It wouldn’t work. It would just be a big, hot mess." -Dig Deep

Follow me @8kpower

by Kevin Power on Jul 15, 2011 9:36 AM EDT up reply actions  

smitten by the banhammer?

by Town on Jul 15, 2011 10:05 AM EDT up reply actions  

Banished to the Nether Regions of SBNation

"Don't look now, but there's one too many people in this room and I think it's you." Groucho Marx

In Prust We Trust

"Kovalev would work with Tortorella like a kitty would work in a microwave.

A lot of smoke and desperate clawing at the door. It wouldn’t work. It would just be a big, hot mess." -Dig Deep

Follow me @8kpower

by Kevin Power on Jul 15, 2011 10:08 AM EDT up reply actions  

awhh

"Mr. Madison, what you've just said is one of the most insanely idiotic things I have ever heard. At no point in your rambling, incoherent response were you even close to anything that could be considered a rational thought. Everyone in this room is now dumber for having listened to it. I award you no points, and may God have mercy on your soul."

LET'S GO RANGERS!!!

by Moshe52792 on Jul 15, 2011 1:34 PM EDT up reply actions  

im sure...

frankiec will be back here after the first pre-season game talking about how we have to make a big move to get Jared Boll because we didnt hit enough and replace the entire D for not blocking enough shots.

In Prust we Trust
"It's just pain."
This team has balls.

by Master Ov Brutality on Jul 18, 2011 11:26 AM EDT up reply actions  

he was banned

"Don't look now, but there's one too many people in this room and I think it's you." Groucho Marx

In Prust We Trust

"Kovalev would work with Tortorella like a kitty would work in a microwave.

A lot of smoke and desperate clawing at the door. It wouldn’t work. It would just be a big, hot mess." -Dig Deep

Follow me @8kpower

by Kevin Power on Jul 18, 2011 3:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

no shit...

didnt realize it was oficially done…cuz it was talked about regularly jokingly…
what was it that did it for him in the end? cuz i know he complained a lot and was really annoying…but never noticed a whole lot worth banning over…so i must have missed it.

In Prust we Trust
"It's just pain."
This team has balls.

by Master Ov Brutality on Jul 19, 2011 9:53 AM EDT up reply actions  

Not to beat a dead horse, but Boyle's contract is not a risk.

Boyle’s progression YoY fits the pattern he showed in College and AHL. At all levels his PPG is not bad. His shots per 60 were up significantly YoY. Shooting percentage up, but not outside of his range thru all levels of competition. If anything, I think he wore down towards the end with so much ice time. Something he should be better suited for this year.

Of course the problem will be ice time. He got 3rd, sometimes almost 2nd line minutes in some games last year. Unless he makes transition to LW (which I fully expect). He will not get as much time without a position move.
So production might dip, but I don’t think his effectiveness will revert to 2009-2010 levels.

Thinking long term, if he puts up 10-12 goals by the trade deadline and is locked up at 1.7 for another two years, he makes a very attractive piece in a deal to land a more dynamic natural LW if something comes up.

by Gabby the Gutless Sniper on Jul 15, 2011 9:33 AM EDT via mobile reply actions  

It’s a good thought, but I’d like to see what we actually have in the pack line this year before we talk trades.

Anisimov’s talent and his consistent progress is intriguing as is Callahan’s scoring last season. If Anismov blossoms this year and Callahan can stay healthy, I think it is possibly that the pack line puts up 170 points this year

by Town on Jul 15, 2011 10:08 AM EDT up reply actions  

Simple way for Dubi to get a fair contract

Just email Sather and Co. George’s article

http://www.blueshirtbanter.com/2011/7/14/2212623/new-york-rangers-analysis-what-are-they-worth-brandon-dubinsky

"Don't look now, but there's one too many people in this room and I think it's you." Groucho Marx

In Prust We Trust

"Kovalev would work with Tortorella like a kitty would work in a microwave.

A lot of smoke and desperate clawing at the door. It wouldn’t work. It would just be a big, hot mess." -Dig Deep

Follow me @8kpower

by Kevin Power on Jul 15, 2011 9:36 AM EDT reply actions  

Sather on email… Probably a nasty hunt and peck typist that’s always yelling at his admin to get tech support on the phone because he can’t find icon to get onto Prodigy for dial up. Of course when he does get only he only goes to one site, the one site that is all thing Rangers and packed full of insightful analysis and frighteningly accurate predictions, topped with a sprinkling of sophisticated discussions on world politics, modern art and new age music… That site is BSB!

by Gabby the Gutless Sniper on Jul 15, 2011 9:45 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

Modern art and new age music? What site are you on?

"Don't look now, but there's one too many people in this room and I think it's you." Groucho Marx

In Prust We Trust

"Kovalev would work with Tortorella like a kitty would work in a microwave.

A lot of smoke and desperate clawing at the door. It wouldn’t work. It would just be a big, hot mess." -Dig Deep

Follow me @8kpower

by Kevin Power on Jul 15, 2011 9:50 AM EDT up reply actions  

Modern art = Photoshop.
New Age Music = He’s had pandora on in the background for 5 months and thinks it’s just part of the site now.

Blueshirt Banter - Where Rangers' Fans Matter
Tracking the Rangers - Numbers don't lie. They just don't agree with you.
Twitter: RangerSmurf

by George E. Ays on Jul 15, 2011 9:51 AM EDT up reply actions  

that makes sense

"Don't look now, but there's one too many people in this room and I think it's you." Groucho Marx

In Prust We Trust

"Kovalev would work with Tortorella like a kitty would work in a microwave.

A lot of smoke and desperate clawing at the door. It wouldn’t work. It would just be a big, hot mess." -Dig Deep

Follow me @8kpower

by Kevin Power on Jul 15, 2011 9:53 AM EDT up reply actions  

lmao

"Mr. Madison, what you've just said is one of the most insanely idiotic things I have ever heard. At no point in your rambling, incoherent response were you even close to anything that could be considered a rational thought. Everyone in this room is now dumber for having listened to it. I award you no points, and may God have mercy on your soul."

LET'S GO RANGERS!!!

by Moshe52792 on Jul 15, 2011 1:50 PM EDT up reply actions  

You said Boyle was a former 3rd overall pick. He was the 26th overall pick.

by Jamy Cally Baron on Jul 15, 2011 10:04 AM EDT reply actions  

whoopsie, you are correct sir

Blueshirt Banter: Covering the New York Rangers the only NHL team with three home arenas.

"We can trade Lisin for a gun, then hold it to Drury’s head and make him waive the no-movement clause" - XLII

"Tortorelli sounds like a kind of pasta… an unforgiving, stubborn, chewy, flavorless pasta that demands ‘jam’ from other pastas." - Dig Deep

by Joe Fortunato on Jul 15, 2011 10:09 AM EDT up reply actions  

BUT we traded a 3rd round pick for him :)

"Mr. Madison, what you've just said is one of the most insanely idiotic things I have ever heard. At no point in your rambling, incoherent response were you even close to anything that could be considered a rational thought. Everyone in this room is now dumber for having listened to it. I award you no points, and may God have mercy on your soul."

LET'S GO RANGERS!!!

by Moshe52792 on Jul 17, 2011 10:11 PM EDT up reply actions  

I just out of the blue had a psychic rush come over me that we will see a Dubi deal today… 5 bucks any takers??

by Mr. Avery to you on Jul 15, 2011 11:06 AM EDT via mobile reply actions  

You think Dubi’s going to get $5?

by MyFavBaseballSquadron on Jul 15, 2011 11:13 AM EDT up reply actions  

no

"Don't look now, but there's one too many people in this room and I think it's you." Groucho Marx

In Prust We Trust

"Kovalev would work with Tortorella like a kitty would work in a microwave.

A lot of smoke and desperate clawing at the door. It wouldn’t work. It would just be a big, hot mess." -Dig Deep

Follow me @8kpower

by Kevin Power on Jul 15, 2011 11:16 AM EDT up reply actions  

I’d go as high as $8 but thats pushing it

"Don't look now, but there's one too many people in this room and I think it's you." Groucho Marx

In Prust We Trust

"Kovalev would work with Tortorella like a kitty would work in a microwave.

A lot of smoke and desperate clawing at the door. It wouldn’t work. It would just be a big, hot mess." -Dig Deep

Follow me @8kpower

by Kevin Power on Jul 15, 2011 11:22 AM EDT up reply actions  

With a $100K per empty net goal clause

by MyFavBaseballSquadron on Jul 15, 2011 11:26 AM EDT up reply actions  

and $5.99 for every pornstache hair he grows in the playoffs

@joereiter
Blueshirt Banter
"You can be a lion maybe once in your life. If you don't make this deal, you're a
mouse forever….Wouldn't you rather be a lion for one day than a mouse for life?" - Lord General Sather
"Nobody knows anything" - William Goldman

by joereiter on Jul 15, 2011 11:37 AM EDT up reply actions  

Per hair?? Holy crap – that could be lucrative….

rofl

by dbmaven on Jul 15, 2011 11:52 AM EDT up reply actions  

Haha damn I didn’t pay enough attention to how I worded that I meant bet me 5 bucks that the deal gets done today…I obviously figure he’s worth at least ten…

by Mr. Avery to you on Jul 15, 2011 12:53 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

I know this sounds crazy with the deadlines, but I think the strategic move is to sign Callahan first on Monday or Tuesday. I believe he is more “reasonable” and less likely to hold out until arbitration. If you somehow got him at say $4m for 4 years on Tuesday, you then have leverage over Dubi to sign at $4.25m rather than whatever he is asking for, and force him to make a quick decision about it.

by BigB22 on Jul 15, 2011 12:15 PM EDT reply actions  

I think everybody needs to quit judging Dubi for what he did two years ago… he’s slightly more mature and hopefully he realizes how much the rangers like him and he hopefully feels the same way

by Ranger McJersey on Jul 15, 2011 4:40 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

BSB rules

Joe, you’re totally rocking this ish now. Thanks for the seamless transition. Hopefully we’ll see Mr. Schmiedeberg return whilst we march towards late May, early June (yes I’m delusional).

Now, are we going with Duballahan or Callinsky? I’ve seen both and i like both, but I feel you fellas at the top of the BSB ladder need to hash this out once & for all.

Were they saying "Boo" or "Boo-urns?"
@SlayerSantana on Twitter

by Kendrick Jay on Jul 15, 2011 5:13 PM EDT reply actions  

I think we arrived at Duballahan as the consensus. Callinskimov for the pack line

"In the '60s I slept with many women, often outside in the mud and rain. It's possible a man may have slipped in there, there's no way of knowing."

Rangers/Jets/Yankees/Knicks/Barcelona/Tottenham fan

by smorch9 on Jul 15, 2011 6:05 PM EDT up reply actions  

+2

lol i totally forget what i voted on back in the day…since i was often pretty drunk due to all those 1 goal games…anyways i am behind both of these…Callinskimov is especially awesome.

In Prust we Trust
"It's just pain."
This team has balls.

by Master Ov Brutality on Jul 18, 2011 11:33 AM EDT up reply actions  

lifetime rangers

Any chance we see one or both get 14 year deals? Or is that just ridiculous? Not sure if we could get a smaller cap hit on a deal like that or how it would work, just curious…

by BestGoalSongEver on Jul 15, 2011 5:29 PM EDT via mobile reply actions  

They’re too you to do something like that we would probably have to give them more money that back end which is too much of a risk

by Ranger McJersey on Jul 15, 2011 5:45 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

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