MTPS: The Adam Fox of It All

Fox hasn’t asked out, but he hasn’t exactly planted his flag, either. If the Rangers choose clarity over comfort, this trade framework reveals just how massive—and franchise-altering—a return could be.

MTPS: The Adam Fox of It All
© Steve Roberts-Imagn Images

Let's start here:

Mrs. Novak—ninth grade science, terrifying pop quizzes, and the face of an angel who absolutely knew when you hadn’t cracked the book—used to say, “if I were a gambling woman, and I’m not…” right before lowering the boom.

One day she explained the difference between correlation and causation.

  • Correlation: Chip doesn’t study, I ask Chip a question.
  • Causation: I know Chip didn’t study, so I ask Chip a question.

Which brings us to the current steaming situation surrounding the New York Rangers and star defenseman Adam Fox.

Did Sullivan’s comments cause Fox to give that icy, non-committal, “I’m just focused on this season” answer after the loss to the Philadelphia Flyers?

Correlation? Sure.

Causation? Let’s relax.

Fox didn’t demand a trade. He didn’t flip a table. He didn’t pull the fire alarm and sprint to LaGuardia. He gave the hockey equivalent of, “per my last email.”

That’s not a departure announcement. That’s leverage with good posture.

Now, could Sullivan’s unforced comments—layered atop the mild awkwardness of roster politics and bruised egos—have made things a little spicier? Absolutely. When the people shaping the roster are also the people shaping your mood, tension tends to marinate.

But, let’s not pretend one press conference created this.

The Rangers are in that dreaded in-between phase: not willing to admit that they need to rip it to the studs, not stable enough to convince a superstar defenseman that the parade route is being measured. If you’re Fox and in your prime, looking at timelines and vibes and the general emotional climate, “ask me later” is a perfectly reasonable response.

The organization, meanwhile, looks like it just tried to assemble IKEA furniture without the instructions:

  • Sullivan looks like he wants a different style of player
  • Drury looks like he's committed to bringing us back to the Dark Ages
  • James Dolan looks like he’s watching from the owner’s suite wondering why the vibes feel eerily reminiscent of the New York Knicks during the Isiah Thomas era

However we got here, here we are.

Did Sullivan cause this? I don’t think so.

Did Drury cause this? I don't think so.

Did they help? If I were a gambling woman, and I’m not…

Let’s just say when a star player chooses “no comment” over “I love it here,” that’s not causation.

But it’s not nothing either.

And yes, I’ve already said trading him might be the smart play. Not because he’s bad, but because value peaks before clarity does. Unless everything goes right (and it won't) the Rangers' timeline and Fox's do not align.

As for those California trade ideas—San Jose, Anaheim—the pushback of “Why would he accept that?” is missing the point. Geography isn’t the issue. Timeline is. Stability is. Direction is. Players don’t reject zip codes; they reject uncertainty. That being said, I'm nothing if not a man of the people, so let's look a trade destination a little closer to home.